Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 11, 2022

September 11, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 One Bay Hemingway 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 One More Brew 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Patches O’Houlihan 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Smart Coverage 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Stubborn Streak 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 It’s True 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Gungi 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sir Grayvenscroft 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Haddassah’s Devil 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 My Boy Christian 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Four Bounce 10.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Supremeaction 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 More Than Happy 1.60 7.7 15-1
3 3 Incendio 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Bullet Speed 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rosebud’s Hope 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Broadway Lady 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Ms Vancougar 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 November Fog 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Peace Seeker 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 I Get It 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Souper Legacy 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Maakwa 8.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Take a Chance 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Downy Boy 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Ron’s Gizmo 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sandy Bay 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Epilogue 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Leslie Chow 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Concealed Carry 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Dream Maker 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Burning Man 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Finalist 12.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Reliability 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Souper Cohiba 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Hyperfocus 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 So Suave (IRE) 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Maximus Momentus 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Argentium 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Attabe 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Witch Hazel 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Dolce Sopresa 3.50 5.7 11-1
9 9 Goddess Pele 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Panic Switch 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Mission of Joy 10.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 War’s End Kiss 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Crumlin Beast 10.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Ravello Beauty 12.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Splurge 6.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Time for an Angel 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Meyer 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lil Bit Gangsta 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Mnemba Island 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Prideofdistinction 15.00 5 10-1
8 8 Lion Kingdom 2.50 5 10-1
5 5 Redoute’s Light 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Canadian Pharoah 8.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Juan Pablo 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 October Frost 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Wonder Where S.) – Wonder Where S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Strega 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Keep It Neat 15.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Swoop to Finish 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Whimsical Dance 1.60 5.2 10-1
4 4 Devil’s Bit 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Sister Seagull 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Conglomerate 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dolder Grand 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Full Extreme 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Special Forces 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Guestimation 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Sir Sahib 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Seventyseven Stone 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Raise a Profit 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Silent Farewell 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Born Happy 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 You Make Me Happy 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Beau Guest 2.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Chunky Monkey 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Red Flare 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Silent Risk 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.