September 11, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Bay Hemingway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Brew | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patches O’Houlihan | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Coverage | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stubborn Streak | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s True | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gungi | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haddassah’s Devil | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Christian | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Four Bounce | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Supremeaction | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Than Happy | 1.60 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incendio | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bullet Speed | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rosebud’s Hope | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Lady | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Vancougar | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | November Fog | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peace Seeker | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Get It | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Souper Legacy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maakwa | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take a Chance | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Downy Boy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ron’s Gizmo | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Bay | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Epilogue | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leslie Chow | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Concealed Carry | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Maker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Burning Man | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finalist | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reliability | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Cohiba | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hyperfocus | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So Suave (IRE) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maximus Momentus | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Argentium | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Attabe | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Witch Hazel | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolce Sopresa | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goddess Pele | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Panic Switch | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mission of Joy | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War’s End Kiss | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crumlin Beast | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ravello Beauty | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splurge | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time for an Angel | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Meyer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mnemba Island | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prideofdistinction | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lion Kingdom | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redoute’s Light | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Canadian Pharoah | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Juan Pablo | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | October Frost | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Wonder Where S.) – Wonder Where S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Strega | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep It Neat | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swoop to Finish | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whimsical Dance | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Bit | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Seagull | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Conglomerate | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dolder Grand | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Extreme | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Forces | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guestimation | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Sahib | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Raise a Profit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Farewell | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Born Happy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You Make Me Happy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Guest | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chunky Monkey | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Flare | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Risk | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.