Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 15, 2022

September 15, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Moonlight Rain 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ami’s Link 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Flat Out Vixen 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Anita Grigio 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ivy’s Star 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 San Nicola Star 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tickle Her Toe 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Exit Stage Right 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Techie 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Baby Fade 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Hekla’s Aura 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Forest Choice 4.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Meeting At Marthas 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Stole the Ring 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Sweet Edition 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red Mavrik 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mystic Point 1.80 1.3 3-1
6 6 Executive Giant 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Shambo 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Robitaille 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Forester Humor 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Musical Ride 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bella Nina 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lady Maeve (IRE) 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Volata 6.00 3 6-1
9 9 Royal City Reign 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Divine Genesis 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Dejas Too 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Muskoka Lady 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Samurai Fighter 15.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Monastery Lane 5.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Everyday Magic 10.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Speak English 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Reign by Rein 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Orbaline 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Northern Ruby 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Silent Respect 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Valley Girl 1.60 5.2 10-1
4 4 Silent Ghost 2.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Five Days in May 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eleanor Powell 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Twisted Path 10.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Born to Be Good 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Blu Sky Sunrise 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Awildas Treasure 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Zafeather 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Touch of Rouge 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tavaline 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Silver Bullet Lady 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 I Have an Idea 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Verdejo 1.60 4.8 9-1
4 4 Inspector Reload 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Quinte Road 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bittersweetbizness 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dixiewish 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Sunday Visit 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 My Baby Jane 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hit Me Up 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Elusive Gem 20.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Laila’s Charm 20.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Cee’nceesgreytness 6.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Daisy Dangles 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Clink Cheers 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Legal Steps 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Wanna Play 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.