September 16, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quick Hammer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Signator | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scootscoot | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unknown Agenda | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Space | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warman Road | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kalik | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tide of the Sea | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Parkway | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Megayacht | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Founder | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Space Launch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Works (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Know It All Audrey | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Lady | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gagliano | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clara Belle | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | U Cant Handle This | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Theory | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elegant Laoban | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simple Sugar | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keen Dancer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam’s Angel | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Glitter Up | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yamas | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sixth Street (FR) | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Status | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Expand the Map (IRE) | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adam’s Angel | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wish List | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Western Lane | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arrogant Lady | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Provision | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thethrillofvictory | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | General Banker | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barry the Builder | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ramblin’ Wreck | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bear’s Correct | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Widmark | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Exalted One | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Prince | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liotta | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’arpino B C | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chulligan | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Betsy Blue | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dealing Justice | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wholebodemeister | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piece of My Heart | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Starr | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chris and Dave | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hammerin Aamer | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scilly Cay | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amount | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dust Devil | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vintage Hollywood | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Speed | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Jays | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kokopelli | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fontanafredda | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Social Whirl | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Towering Orbit | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grudge | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Theodora Grace | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shesawildjoker | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ruvies in Time | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Beautiful Karen | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon’s Hope | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bezos | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Power Agenda | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Street Culture | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matty’s Marauder | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mach One | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inspiration Point | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nature Boy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Raw Courage | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.