Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 16, 2022

September 16, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quick Hammer 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Signator 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Scootscoot 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Unknown Agenda 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Space 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Warman Road 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kalik 6.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tide of the Sea 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bluegrass Parkway 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Megayacht 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Founder 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Space Launch 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dream Works (FR) 3.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Know It All Audrey 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wicked Lady 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Gagliano 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Clara Belle 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 U Cant Handle This 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Game Theory 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Elegant Laoban 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Simple Sugar 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Keen Dancer 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Adam’s Angel 0 0-1
6 6 Glitter Up 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Yamas 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Sixth Street (FR) 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Diamond Status 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Expand the Map (IRE) 1.20 3.1 6-1
7 7 Adam’s Angel 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Wish List 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Western Lane 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Arrogant Lady 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Provision 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Thethrillofvictory 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 General Banker 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Barry the Builder 4.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Ramblin’ Wreck 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bear’s Correct 15.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Widmark 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Exalted One 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 War Prince 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Liotta 30.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 D’arpino B C 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Chulligan 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Betsy Blue 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dealing Justice 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Wholebodemeister 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Piece of My Heart 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sharp Starr 4.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chris and Dave 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hammerin Aamer 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Scilly Cay 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Amount 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Dust Devil 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Vintage Hollywood 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Striking Speed 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Blue Jays 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kokopelli 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Jill’s a Hot Mess 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Fontanafredda 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Dancingwthdaffodls 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Social Whirl 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Towering Orbit 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Grudge 30.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Theodora Grace 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Shesawildjoker 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Ruvies in Time 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Beautiful Karen 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bourbon’s Hope 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bezos 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Power Agenda 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Street Culture 3.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Matty’s Marauder 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mach One 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Inspiration Point 8.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Nature Boy 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Raw Courage 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.