Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 16, 2022

September 16, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Posturing 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Secret Storm 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Sensing Holiday 3.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Favor the Brave 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Happy Fella 2.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Magic Gamble 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Walter Me Lad 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Careless Heiress 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Diamond Crush 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Arra Go Wan 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Old Secrets 4.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Bid Once 3.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ride the Wind 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Remembering Rhoda 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Lincolnville Beach 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shelly the Rocket 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Flat Out Fabulous 20.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Tapiture Way 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 A. A. Sweet Chilli 2.50 4 7-1
3 3 Midnight Meadow 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Baby Mo 3.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Shishka 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Marten River 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Speedy Bolt 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Alicia’s Kid 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Silent Flash 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Circle of Friends 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mr. Dazzle 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Ghoul (BRZ) 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Combative 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Ocelot 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Jack Beanstalk 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Jibaro 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hear Me Knocking 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Celtic Revival 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Alberta Be Mine 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 One Last Fling 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 More Gelato 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Sametimenextyear 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Unpassable 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Crimson Nights 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rockstar Ro 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Racing in the Rain 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Where’s Neal 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Galway Waters 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Galvaston 3.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Dragon’s Key 10.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Boxer Brief 12.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Souper Rush 6.00 8 15-1
9 9 Big Warden 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Light the Lamp 3.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rapid Reload 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Drop a Caribou 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Righteous Robbie 3.50 6 11-1
1 1 Steel Wool 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Helms Bear 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Twice as Smart 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Coo Bird 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spigetinmtzaballs 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Chairman Fox 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Ngabe 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bold Diamonds Bff 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Mia’s Majesty 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Black Boganda 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bodie 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Wilkabee Rush 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Midnight Ramblin 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.