September 16, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Posturing | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Storm | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sensing Holiday | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Favor the Brave | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Fella | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Gamble | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walter Me Lad | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Careless Heiress | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Crush | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arra Go Wan | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Old Secrets | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bid Once | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ride the Wind | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remembering Rhoda | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lincolnville Beach | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shelly the Rocket | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Fabulous | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapiture Way | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A. A. Sweet Chilli | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Meadow | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Mo | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shishka | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Marten River | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Bolt | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alicia’s Kid | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Flash | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Circle of Friends | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Dazzle | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Combative | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ocelot | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack Beanstalk | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jibaro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hear Me Knocking | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Celtic Revival | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alberta Be Mine | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Last Fling | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Gelato | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sametimenextyear | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unpassable | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Crimson Nights | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rockstar Ro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Racing in the Rain | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Where’s Neal | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Galway Waters | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galvaston | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dragon’s Key | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boxer Brief | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Rush | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Warden | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Light the Lamp | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rapid Reload | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drop a Caribou | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Righteous Robbie | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steel Wool | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helms Bear | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twice as Smart | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coo Bird | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spigetinmtzaballs | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chairman Fox | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ngabe | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Diamonds Bff | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mia’s Majesty | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Boganda | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wilkabee Rush | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Ramblin | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.