Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 17, 2022

September 17, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Souffle 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Midtown Lights 4.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Showemyourheels 3.50 6 11-1
2 2 Hypnocurrency 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Bank Holiday 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 A Royal Shin 6.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Red Butterfly 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 In Good Trouble 15.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Fleetfooted 8.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Red Hot Chick 12.00 8.9 17-1
14 14 Fancypants Juliana 4.50 8.9 17-1
12 12 Moonage Daydream 5.00 8.9 17-1
15 15 Happy Warrior 6.00 11.1 21-1
13 13 Slow Down Summer 10.00 11.4 22-1
7 7 Army of Thoughts 30.00 14.8 28-1
16 16 August Bloom 12.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jemography 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Alcools 1.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Bronx Bomber 1.80 3.1 6-1
1 1 Long Term Thinking 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Reux (GB) 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Musical America 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Indemnify (FR) 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Labarde 20.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Triumphant Road 12.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Logan’s Runner 20.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bobbie D (IRE) 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Aruba 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Jurkovec 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Bali Riddim 30.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Steady On 12.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Mistical Curlin 3.00 10.5 20-1
10 10 Siege of Boston 5.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Its All Relevant 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Kumar 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lil Commissioner 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Dark Storm 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 First Deputy 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Magnetron 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 O Shea Can U See 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Devious Mo 30.00 6.1 11-1
Dark Storm 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Umbria 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Once a Giant 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Amedeus Music 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Scotto 30.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Lucky Brody 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Flipping Fun 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 B C Glory Days 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Alite 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Prince of Joy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Padma 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Binsky 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Bulsara 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Spun Special 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bella Michelle 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Occult 3.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Candy Strike 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Royal Poppy 12.00 6.3 12-1
Padma 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Jockey Club Oaks Invitational S.) – Jockey Club Oaks Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 McKulick (GB) 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Nostalgic 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Beside Herself 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Miss Yearwood 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Toskana Belle (FR) 3.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Canisy 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Phantom Smoke 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Carpe’s Dream 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Immortalization 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 King Angelo 3.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Klickitat 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Outlaw Kid 6.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Ikigai 15.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Gianni Lambo 8.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Maritime Wings (IRE) 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Prisoner 12.00 1 2-1
5 6 Nabokov 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Ryan’s Cat 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 4 Dot’s Dollar 15.00 5.6 11-1
1A 3 American Gentleman 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 7 Capone 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 8 Expressman 0.40 7.4 14-1
2 2 Mackillop 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Caesars Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.) – Caesars Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classic Causeway 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wicked Fast 15.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Nations Pride (IRE) 1.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Daunt 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 The Grey Wizard (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Ardakan (GB) 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Royal Currency 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Shinfull 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Voleuse 1.20 3.4 6-1
8 8 Royal Dancer 1.40 5.9 11-1
2 2 Aleste 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 True Martini 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Lita 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Lemon Red 8.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Ard Macha 8.00 9 17-1
5 5 Maddie’s Surprise 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.