Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 17, 2022

September 17, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hurry Up Dear 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Stellarator 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Reaching Stride 3.50 3.4 6-1
11 11 Flat Out Cool 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Interesting Gem 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 The Cuban Missile 30.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Her Greatness 30.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Stare If You Must 30.00 7 13-1
10 10 Lord Joan 20.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 J’s Star Jet 20.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Bella Miura 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starship Nugget 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Kenya Sun 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Elliereeseaston 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Chutzpah 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Takestwotowiggle 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Thrilling Baby 8.00 5 10-1
5 5 Bumblelicious 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prettykeen 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Tamarindo 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Cross Fleet 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Little Fairy 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ines’s Hats 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Downburst 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Gyurza 30.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Girly the Butcher 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Belly Up 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Christensen 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Pike Place 8.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Midnight Getaway 8.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Cinco Dinero 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Diamond Explorer (IRE) 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Marley Luck 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Takecareofbusiness 20.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Peach Nectar 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cutie 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 For the Chief 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Money Factor 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Short Circuit 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Streaking Grey 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Grey Charlotte 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Hardly Social 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 High Vibes 3.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Dry Humor 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 No Name Dude 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Adios Papa Chico 20.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Tumiga 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Ghost Bike 4.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Smart Striker 6.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Big Save 4.50 8.2 15-1
9 9 Kekere 6.00 9.8 18-1
6 6 Majestic Pharoah 10.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Mauna Kea Bound 20.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Truce of God 30.00 11.1 21-1
16 16 Rusty Pistol 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Naruto 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dream On Baby 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Boris 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Midnight Onyx 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sweet Side 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kuhl Star 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Gran Andrews 15.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Congrats Again 12.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Sandy Dude 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Geoscience 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Fishing for Fun 6.00 4 7-1
7 7 Epic Run 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Last Second Louie 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Summer Ash 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 R Admiral 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Racket 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Ruthless Intent 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Surrogate 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Inspired Mischief 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Russian Alphabet 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Guaranteed Speck 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Our Dear Peggy S.) – Our Dear Peggy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jellybean 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Blind Spot 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Extra Indy 8.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Stephanie’s Charm 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Rock This Towne 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Mo Town Madison 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Vai Via 10.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Mursal 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Dropkick Queen 20.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Black Ice 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Born Dapper 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 The Distractor 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Octane 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Living Water 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 No More Business 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sensei Lawrence 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Too Much Action 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Hey Porter 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zonal 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Show Em the Lights 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Heart Boy 6.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Rockland Express 15.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Khozy Boy 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Cabar Sul 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Florida Star 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Pure of Heart 30.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Tico G 30.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Captain Anthony 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mr. Ash 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.