Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 17, 2022

September 17, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 McWherter 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Scratchy Apache 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Majestic Wind 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Mr Freebie 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 B D R Dragster 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Sharp Warning 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Big Cheddar 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Bob’s Sniper 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Three Point Oh 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Roubaix 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mining Crypto 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Glorious Spring 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Sister’s Revenge 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Kaylas Joy 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Western Cape 0.60 1 2-1
5 5 Candy for Carmel 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Go Laker Go 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Len’s Luck 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Ivory Sky 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Rafikki 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sierra Pass 30.00 1 2-1
4 4 Asphalt Andy 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Mask Off 1.60 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sayers 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Absolute Truth 30.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Hiding the Brick 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Precedent 8.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Cross Examine 5.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Wesley’s Boy 30.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Mongolian Box 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Butkus 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Arthur Spooner 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Smiling At Val 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Prince Magician 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Mighty Matt 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Me Macho 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Economical 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paytricia 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Eddie’s On Patrol 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Smiling Princess 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Shelly Nose Best 10.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Fast Investment 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Anacarava (IRE) 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Draw Near 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Runaway Sally 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Respectfully 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Equilove (IRE) 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Lalic (FR) 4.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Pistachio Princess 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Little Rachel 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Bye Bye Bertie 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Harper’s Gallop 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 Keepmeinthe Moment 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Spring Spinning 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (E.b. Johnston S.) – E.b. Johnston S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Chosen Vron 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Desmond Doss 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Crash Corrigan 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Appreciated 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Big City Lights 2.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Luvluv 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chicknfingerfriday 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Odonata 3.50 6.2 12-1
9 9 Gandolfini 2.50 7.5 14-1
8 8 Omnipresent 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Nielson 3.50 7.9 15-1
6 6 South Coast Route 12.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Jeweled Shillelagh 5.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Rich Gold 20.00 9 17-1
5 5 Macnamara 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.