Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 17, 2022

September 17, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Heart Light 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Violet Jessop 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Caged Pixie 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 She’s a Tripp 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Salagadoola 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Middle Island 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Bless and Honor 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tall Order 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bigz’s Cabana Boy 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Mission Man 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Preacher Amos 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Ryan’s Fleet 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Bernardo’s Legacy 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 How Lovely 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Jackson Road 8.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Opus Forty Two 6.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Barb’s Pride 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Amicalola Falls 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Bet On Bitz 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Gold Guy 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Big Daddy D R 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Triple Titos 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Uncommon Valor 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Callyourightback 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Golden Can 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 World Gone Wild 4.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 10.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Klayton’s Kandy 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Ma de Taw 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Twelveo’clockrock 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Olive Kat 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Claire’s Darling 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Above the Limit 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Canadian Ginger 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Syncopated 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 He Rolls 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Mister Mitch 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Phra Phrom 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Flavian 10.00 5 10-1
3 3 Eight and Sand 2.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 Rennie 8.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Chocolate Shake 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Straight Up Guy 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Titrate 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Honor My World 10.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Mint Game 4.50 2.8 5-1
11 11 Emphasize 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Seville Row 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Maryland Pride 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Super E 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 High Print 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Galatians 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Down Cold 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Market of Stocks 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Targe 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mick’sbestbetyet 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Some Is Nine 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Youknowwhatitizzz 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Reawakened 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Salamina 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Little Bit of That 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Chambeau 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Awesome Jazz 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Fast Lani 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Eifs 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Trixie’s Time 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Bourbon Wildcat 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Center Stage 6.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Utterly Courageous 15.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Blazing Star (GB) 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Who Knows What 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Spicy Margarita 1.40 1.8 3-1
2 2 Tweet Away Robin 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Italian Dressing 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Vibrant Judy 1.60 4.7 9-1
5 5 Toss a Coin 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Like n’ Eagle 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Amaretto Sour 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Princess Palmer 4.00 2.4 4-1
11 11 Queen of Class 30.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Way Lucky 30.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Chelichna 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Coffee Bean 4.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Satisfied 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Pensively 2.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Meliponini Bee 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Lottaclass Lilsass 30.00 6.6 13-1
14 14 Little Miss Minion 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Time Goes Fast 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kerford’s Commish 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.