Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 18, 2022

September 18, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Montepulciano 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Expected Value 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 2 Skellig 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 4 Point Proven 6.00 4.4 8-1
1A 7 Ohana Honor 2.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Phelpsy 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 5 Big Wicks 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shamalamadingdong 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 True Empress 1.20 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sweeter 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Infringement 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 My Delicious 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Handle the Truth 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Veronica Greene 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sareeha (IRE) 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Whiskey Lullaby 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Rosia Bay 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Libretto (IRE) 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Free Chickens 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Kinchen (IRE) 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Sister Mac 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nicholas James 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Colloquy 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Taco Bean 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Storm Shooter 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Forty Comets 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Moonshiningbright 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Maxim Moment 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Peace Cruiser 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Binsky 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mo Shiro 15.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Aniston 5.00 2.9 5-1
1A 6 Tangential 2.50 3 6-1
2 1 Treasured Gem 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 8 Grand Entrance 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 7 Milieu 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 2 Randomized 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forbidden Secret 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Going in Style 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Ulumalu 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Ee Yah 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Chess Spectacular 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Break the Ice 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Outlaw Country 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Obscured by Clouds 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Flashy Alex 30.00 7 13-1
9 9 Weekend Tizzy 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Athwaaq 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mucha Mezquina 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Itsakeyper 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bay Jewel 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Quality Stones 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Jasminesque 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 More Mango 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Jen’s Battle 30.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Angelinka (FR) 3.50 6.7 13-1
10 10 Customerexperience 1.40 SCRATCH
11 11 Chloe Rose 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dr. Blute 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Whittington Park 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Forty Two Ace 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Blitz to Win 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Great Workout 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Dangerous Edge 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Curlin’s Wisdom 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Pebbles S.) – Pebbles S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Faith in Humanity (FR) 0 0-1
5 5 A Mo Reay 6.00 1 2-1
12 12 Gina Romantica 3.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Sail By 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Golden Rocket 30.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Bahamian Club (IRE) 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Breeze Easy (GB) 4.50 6.4 12-1
1 1 Majestic Glory (GB) 8.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Miss Carol Ann (IRE) 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Faith in Humanity (FR) 5.00 7.1 13-1
13 13 Wonka 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lia Marina 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Saratoga Chrome 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Howdyoumakeurmoney 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Agenda 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 The Last Zip 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Montauk Summer 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Monarchs Glen (GB) 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Jack the Cat 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Quiet Out East 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Hieroglyphics 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Shady McGee (IRE) 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 It’s Mandatory 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.