Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 22, 2022

September 22, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Free Shipping 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Grand Gizmo 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mayor of Essa 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Anselmo 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Doc Fishman 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Bodacious Biz 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Lionesque 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sooner Lunar 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Green Amazon 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Hungry Wolf 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mister Meseeks 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Guns n’ Rojas 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Boston Bay 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Field Hockey 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Smart Sky 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Natural Energy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Happy Valentine 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Velocitor 1.20 4.1 8-1
5 5 Boss Holiday 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Helluva Holiday 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sixth Anniversary 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Golden Train 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 High Heat 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Bokermin 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Jibaro 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Browning Island 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Gancho 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 One Punch Charlie 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Sea Scout 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Highland Society 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Body of Law 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Muskoka Lady 10.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Courtingcourtney 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Skinny Dippin 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Mia’s Authority 2.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Call Me Kitty 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Little Fire 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Phil in Echo 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Solar 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dr. Shane 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Veloce 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Guitar George 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 The Newfie Express 12.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Redoute’s Light 3.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Giant Critic 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 D’s Ben 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Forest Vixen 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kimono Kate 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Menagerie 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Shes Loaded 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 De Joria 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Livin On Luv 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Rees 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Northern Passage 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Original Me 20.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Elusive Gem 20.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Free Carrycomb 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Fragola 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mohaymen Day 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 T’pring 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Eyes On a Train 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Skipover 3.50 6.6 13-1
10 10 So Breanna 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.