Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 23, 2022

September 23, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hay Stack 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Implicated 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Agua Dulce (GB) 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Invest Wisely 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Misintention 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Summertime Fun 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Keep It Sexy 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Mademoisellejackie 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Just a Splash (IRE) 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 La Chance 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet as Sugar 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Dame Cinco 1.80 2.3 4-1
7 7 Beautiful Karen 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Bastet 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Boss Cara 3.50 5 10-1
3 3 Bells On Her Toes 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 London Gold 30.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Frosted Wild Ride 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ocean’s Reserve 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Refuah 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Today’s Flavor 1.20 1.6 3-1
5 5 Conquist 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Central Pride 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Baldizar 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Midnight Express 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Big Engine 0 0-1
3 3 Excellent Timing 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Foolish Ghost 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Who Hoo Thats Me 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Quick Return 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Majority Partner 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Big Engine 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Unique Unions 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Jade’s Dream 20.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Big Bobby 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Inventing 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Beachfront Bid 10.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tizzy in the Sky 2.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Signal From Noise 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Winter Mischief 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Mattapoisett 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Dolce Sera 50.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Into Happiness 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Pout 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Who Me 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Eye Witness 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Itsallcomintogetha 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Fire King 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Kid Emerald 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 King of Comedy 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dr. Settle’s Dream 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Blue Soldier 20.00 7.7 14-1
11 11 Chasin’ You 15.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Be of Courage 30.00 10.7 20-1
13 13 Tater and Tot 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Twenty Six Black 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Disarmed 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Nobilis 1.80 SCRATCH
15 15 Uncle Marty 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Joyful Ghost 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Orchestration 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 C Falls 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Search for Truth 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Constitutionlawyer 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Airman 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Mo Rewards 6.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Analogy 6.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Parquetry 30.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Fighter in the Win 8.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Small Hope 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bold Victory 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Cryo 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Bossmakinbossmoves 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Joseph A. Gimma S.) – Joseph A. Gimma S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Les Bon Temps 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gambling Girl 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Miracle 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Security Code 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lady Mine 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Small Pebbles 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Warsaichi 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Saratoga Gaze 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lisa’s Vision 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Rigby 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Silver Fist 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Blame It On Mary 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Flip My Id 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Silken Dollar 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Sinfully Sweet 6.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Busy Morning 2.50 6.7 13-1
7 7 Bustin Bullet 10.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Masterof the Tunes 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tis a Pity 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Glittering Prize 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dufresne 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Kant Hurry Love 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Aunt Virginia 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.