September 23, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speed Salsa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Expect Ours | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Babe | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Claude | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Familia | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bound for Broadway | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Fire | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shyla Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I’m Gittin There | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Krachenwagen | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost My Vowcher | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Stalker | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Antipoison | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monyinthebanksey | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wall | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itsknownasthebern | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zyramid | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Marvin | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where You Was | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battlebus | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Balistico | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Filigree | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always Something | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’d Like to Know | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fair Catch | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Etched in Stone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joe Mike Jim | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bahama Pearl | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Talia | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Watch Your Tone | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stylish Rags | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rockinhippiechick | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hindenburg | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glastonbury | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frog Prince | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Rocket | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aesthetically | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Tick Tock | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bashdaflash | 1.80 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Channel Z | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skip the Bull | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Dream Alone | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Irish McDougal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mailman’s a Flyer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Money Mo Honey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | River Dog | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Semper Fi | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mojovation | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Going to the Lead | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Ron | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nottoway | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Tempo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cynergy’s Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Margie’s Heaven | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proper Attire | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shackaboom | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Old Bay | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torn Jeans | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dulce Kiara | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Lovely Girl | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Passion Play | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kendama | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soulmate | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broker’s Reward | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mt Suribachi | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Never Explain | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Papal Law | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Copper | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American d’Oro | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saranac (FR) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. d’Angelo | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Frontier | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Boat’s a Rockin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dominate Themoment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Irish | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Clint Maroon (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jack Gave Back | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aftermath | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Virginia Fulla | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Axxerator | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angeli Blu | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Gulley | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Mosley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.