Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 23, 2022

September 23, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Striking Heir 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Over the Hills 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Duke of Miami 20.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Pugin 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Chairman Bob 1.00 5 9-1
2 2 Highland Society 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mad Dog N Joe 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Master McGrath 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 October Frost 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Jmr Pure Sensation 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Runninforcover 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 More Than a Dance 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Just Start Me Up 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Doinggoodtrouble 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Ahmas 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Giant One 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scenic Holiday 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Two Year Contract 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Theboyfromgormley 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Taradar 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Wilkabee Rush 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Settebello 1.40 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bold Diamonds Bff 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Bad Beast 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Prince of Thieves 20.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Icing 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Victorious Wave 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Star Chamber 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Chelsea Dagger 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Ammunition 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Benlion 3.50 4 8-1
8 8 Regal Intent 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Reconfigure 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Forester’s Turn 10.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 War Giant 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Malibu Secret 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Fielder 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Goldmine Cat 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Bay of Rum 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Executive Search 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Wenjack 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Takota 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Souper Classy 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Four Aces High 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Celebratory 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Big Executive 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Master Spy 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 I’m a Chi Too 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I Am Resilient 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Forittable 1.60 1.8 3-1
1 1 Spanish Prince 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Free Cat 20.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Ultimate Answer 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Smoking Armoury 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 I Live by Faith 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hayroll 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 My Boy Christian 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Cousin Bob 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Quiet Rebel 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Broke an Broken 5.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Unilateral 4.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Summer Shandee 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 My Redemption 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Late Surge 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Incendio 20.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Dynamic Mission 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.