September 23, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Striking Heir | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Over the Hills | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duke of Miami | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pugin | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chairman Bob | 1.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highland Society | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mad Dog N Joe | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Master McGrath | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | October Frost | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jmr Pure Sensation | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runninforcover | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Than a Dance | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Start Me Up | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doinggoodtrouble | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ahmas | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Giant One | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scenic Holiday | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Year Contract | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theboyfromgormley | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taradar | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wilkabee Rush | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Settebello | 1.40 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Diamonds Bff | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Bad Beast | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icing | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victorious Wave | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Chamber | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chelsea Dagger | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ammunition | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Benlion | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Regal Intent | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reconfigure | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forester’s Turn | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War Giant | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Secret | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fielder | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldmine Cat | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bay of Rum | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Executive Search | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wenjack | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takota | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Souper Classy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Aces High | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celebratory | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Executive | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master Spy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Chi Too | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I Am Resilient | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forittable | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Prince | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Free Cat | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Answer | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoking Armoury | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Live by Faith | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hayroll | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Christian | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cousin Bob | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Rebel | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broke an Broken | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Unilateral | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Shandee | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Redemption | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Late Surge | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Incendio | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dynamic Mission | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.