September 24, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dreampoint | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Excursionniste | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uragano | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Running | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kiyomori | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Lister | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stand United | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valentino’s Here | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Air Show | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arrio | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinetic Sky | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corkman | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will E Sutton | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spectatorless | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bingo John | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Athenia S.) – Athenia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalifornia Queen (GER) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Love And Thunder (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In a Hurry | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evvie Jets | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kalifornia Queen (GER) | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tass | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | W W Fitzy | 0.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Funny Joke | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Printrack | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silipo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be the Boss | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hagler | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Must Be Love | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supersonic | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Bay | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let Her Inspire U | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caragate | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vallelujah | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Linda | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunset Louise | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wailin Josie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bat Flip | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Global Surprise | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nagirroc | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mullingar | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rutherford | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Cat | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paros | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shea On the Lam | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Dan | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Chiringo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leddy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drink the Wind | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cathedral Beach | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor Love | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joey Loose Lips | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catching Cupid | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast N Fearious | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Danzigwiththestars | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial City | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Hilliard | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emboite (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Al’s Rocket | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Transactional (GB) | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Causin’ Mayhem | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Klickitat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Bold Victory | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Masterofthesenate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Cryo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Key Point | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anejo | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Montebello | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nicky the Vest | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Best Idea | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bobby | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Therisastormbrewin | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bar Fourteen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Pharoahs | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ashley T. Cole S.) – Ashley T. Cole S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jerry the Nipper | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Border | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Hard Cash | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sanctuary City | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | City Man | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Advanced Strategy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Action Jackson | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bankit | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mouly | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skyward Princess | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oak Loves a Fight | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capital Gal | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jannie Mae | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Invasion | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | False Hope | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kukaro | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ace Up Her Sleeve | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bizzy Izzy | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | So Are You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | My Cara Mia Mine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Honor Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lacey Underall | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Diversion | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Latest Edition | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.