Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 24, 2022

September 24, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dreampoint 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Excursionniste 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Uragano 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Silent Running 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Kiyomori 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 A Lister 30.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Stand United 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Valentino’s Here 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Air Show 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Arrio 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Kinetic Sky 1.40 1.6 3-1
5 5 Corkman 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Will E Sutton 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Spectatorless 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Bingo John 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Athenia S.) – Athenia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Kalifornia Queen (GER) 0 0-1
3 3 Love And Thunder (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 In a Hurry 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Evvie Jets 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Kalifornia Queen (GER) 1.20 2.8 5-1
4 4 Tass 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 W W Fitzy 0.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Funny Joke 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Printrack 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Silipo 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Be the Boss 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Hagler 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Must Be Love 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Supersonic 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bustin Bay 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Let Her Inspire U 1.60 1.8 3-1
7 7 Caragate 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Vallelujah 12.00 4 7-1
3 3 Sister Linda 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Sunset Louise 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Wailin Josie 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bat Flip 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Global Surprise 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Nagirroc 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Mullingar 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Rutherford 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Happy Cat 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Deccan Prince (IRE) 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Paros 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Shea On the Lam 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Uncle Dan 20.00 6 11-1
1A 11 Chiringo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Leddy 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Drink the Wind 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Cathedral Beach 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Doctor Love 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Joey Loose Lips 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Catching Cupid 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Fast N Fearious 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Danzigwiththestars 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Celestial City 2.00 2.1 4-1
1A 9 Hilliard 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Emboite (IRE) 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Al’s Rocket 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Transactional (GB) 2.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 Causin’ Mayhem 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Klickitat 8.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Bold Victory 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Masterofthesenate 15.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Cryo 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Key Point 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Anejo 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Montebello 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Nicky the Vest 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Best Idea 3.00 3 6-1
9 9 Big Bobby 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Therisastormbrewin 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bar Fourteen 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Prince of Pharoahs 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ashley T. Cole S.) – Ashley T. Cole S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jerry the Nipper 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cross Border 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Cold Hard Cash 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Sanctuary City 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 City Man 1.40 4.1 8-1
7 7 Advanced Strategy 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Action Jackson 30.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Bankit 1.80 SCRATCH
9 9 Bossmakinbossmoves 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mouly 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Skyward Princess 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Oak Loves a Fight 4.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Capital Gal 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Jannie Mae 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Frosty Invasion 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 False Hope 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Kukaro 10.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Ace Up Her Sleeve 12.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Bizzy Izzy 30.00 13.2 25-1
13 13 So Are You 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 My Cara Mia Mine 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Honor Star 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lacey Underall 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bourbon Diversion 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Latest Edition 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.