September 24, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chenti | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hooky Player | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bunker Hill | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ripken | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baton | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harness Creek | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zevon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Photo Copy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Friar Tuck | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Mule | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manolito | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Berks | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Sizzling Time | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapping the Glass | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Agent | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pickin Sea Glass | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tauber | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monster Mason | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War and Roses | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Orientate | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Roamie | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Remi | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maya Prince | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Happy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Top Gun Tommy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Dixie Drawl | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benandjoe | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Goodluckchuck | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Gigging | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Pit Boss | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Cobble Road | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Irish | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Cynergy’s Star | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nick Papagiorgio | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Decorated Invader | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | English Tavern | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hard Love | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Street | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Liquor | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Entertainment | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dendrobia | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wootton Asset (FR) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cannon’s Roar | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Armando R | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Excellorator | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Noah Chance | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Patron | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Energy Efficient | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snip the Roses | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Rap Sheet | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | S S Sinatra | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shackinthebox | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Great Call | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Possiblemente | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Order Ofthe Kettle | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boruff | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Robin Sparkles | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Credit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss J McKay | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can the Queen | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whispurring Kitten | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dontletsweetfoolya | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Can’t Buy Love | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Pants | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spicy Marg | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Can | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ellanation | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spun Glass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Stony Point | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lemos Cunha | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Whiskey and Rye | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Weather Vane S.) – Weather Vane S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elm Drive | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Scarlet | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swayin to and Fro | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smash Ticket | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Buy the Best | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glowsity | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moody Woman | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Famed | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Gracie | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Solare | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lady Baffled | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Red Hot Mess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gunfyre Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Disco Ebo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Nymph | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Polynesian S.) – Polynesian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Plot the Dots | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Trove | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Foam | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Crown | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rough Sea | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Benevengo | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tappin Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn Strong | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Laurel Dash S.) – Laurel Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spycraft | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carotari | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matta | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grateful Bred | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Comedy Town | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sky’s Not Falling | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justwaveandsmile | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Defend | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shinelikeadiamond | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Esperannna | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meraviglioso | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fortes | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Torre Branca | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royally Blue | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foul Balls | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Whistledown | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beargrease | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.