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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 24, 2022

September 24, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chenti 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Hooky Player 1.60 3.2 6-1
6 6 Bunker Hill 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ripken 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Baton 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Harness Creek 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Zevon 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Photo Copy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Friar Tuck 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Magic Mule 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Manolito 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Berks 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 It’s Sizzling Time 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Tapping the Glass 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Elusive Agent 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pickin Sea Glass 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tauber 1.60 2.1 4-1
7 7 Monster Mason 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 War and Roses 20.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 He’s Orientate 12.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Uncle Roamie 15.00 3 6-1
3 3 Uncle Remi 30.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Maya Prince 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Dream Happy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Top Gun Tommy 5.00 1 2-1
4 3 Dixie Drawl 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Benandjoe 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Goodluckchuck 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 4 Gigging 5.00 5.1 10-1
1A 8 Pit Boss 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 9 Cobble Road 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Uncle Irish 4.00 6.6 12-1
2 1 Cynergy’s Star 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nick Papagiorgio 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Decorated Invader 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 English Tavern 5.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Hard Love 15.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 So Street 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Fancy Liquor 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Entertainment 20.00 4 7-1
1 1 Dendrobia 30.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Wootton Asset (FR) 6.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Cannon’s Roar 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Armando R 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Excellorator 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Noah Chance 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Silver Patron 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Energy Efficient 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Snip the Roses 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Long Rap Sheet 4.50 5.7 11-1
9 9 S S Sinatra 10.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Shackinthebox 6.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Great Call 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Possiblemente 10.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Order Ofthe Kettle 3.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Boruff 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Robin Sparkles 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Creative Credit 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Miss J McKay 2.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Can the Queen 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Whispurring Kitten 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Dontletsweetfoolya 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Can’t Buy Love 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Honey Pants 4.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Spicy Marg 8.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Golden Can 30.00 8 15-1
14 14 Ellanation 15.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Spun Glass 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Stony Point 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lemos Cunha 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Whiskey and Rye 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Whiteknuckleflyer 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Weather Vane S.) – Weather Vane S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Elm Drive 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Lady Scarlet 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Swayin to and Fro 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Smash Ticket 2.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Buy the Best 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Glowsity 30.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Moody Woman 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Famed 3.50 5 9-1
6 6 Sweet Gracie 20.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Sweet Solare 30.00 6 11-1
13 13 Lady Baffled 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Red Hot Mess 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gunfyre Gal 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Disco Ebo 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Nymph 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Polynesian S.) – Polynesian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Plot the Dots 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Treasure Trove 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sea Foam 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Double Crown 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Rough Sea 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Benevengo 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Tappin Cat 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Brooklyn Strong 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ain’t Da Beer Cold 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Laurel Dash S.) – Laurel Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spycraft 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Carotari 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Matta 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Grateful Bred 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Comedy Town 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sky’s Not Falling 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Justwaveandsmile 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Defend 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shinelikeadiamond 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Esperannna 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Meraviglioso 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Fortes 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Torre Branca 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Royally Blue 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Foul Balls 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Lady Whistledown 8.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Beargrease 4.50 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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