September 25, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Slow Dial | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blanchiment | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Darknstormy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Book and Cancel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Attached | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Maggie | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joey the Fish | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Gorgeous | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Nice ‘n Spicy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trophy Chaser | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 8 | Trophy Chaser | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Power | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Rules | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Mount Travers | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Lastchanceatglory | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Striking Speed | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Hawk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spungie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Lips Are Sealed | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Thornhill | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War Canoe | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Masterof the Tunes | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Home for Christmas | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Choose Happiness | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ok Honey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Alacrity | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leeloo | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruvies in Time | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khali Magic | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Clever | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Summer Brew | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grudge | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Jet Set Juliet | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heymackit’sjack | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ouster | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Martinez | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ripe for Mischief | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Sky | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loz | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kreesa | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Racey Type | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Slick Nick | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salty Heir | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chief Engineer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baie Longue | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Baie Longue | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Start | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kaw Liga | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Hustle | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Determinedly | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coach Petro | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Trail | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wisecraken | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Confronted | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Rapport | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Conversing | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Scramble | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Taking Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cripple Creek | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Palace Gate | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Enzo’s World | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Endowed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luni Sima | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khafre | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ria’s Angel | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Never Change | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speight’spercomete | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | F F Rocket | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | N Y Anthem | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Hunter | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash in a Flash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Millean | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Abuse of Power | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thismightbetheone | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mispelled Mooon | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Train to Artemus | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tweaqued | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer At the Spa | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crowding Out | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mandy Green | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Road to Remember | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cupids Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ice Cold Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Gallant Bloom S.) – Gallant Bloom S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Rocket | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kimari | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remain Anonymous | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheetara (CHI) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sterling Silver | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blue Times | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Transient (GB) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pearl Earring | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Myriskyaffair | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elle Est Forte | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fist Full of Dice | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lisheen | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Sweet Story | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Synonymous | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mariah’s Fortune | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Corinna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.