September 25, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tara Tattoo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coo Bird | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Chairman | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C C’s Kingdom | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Four Bounce | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supremeaction | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Pronto | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hilarious Affair | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rat Portage | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent Mario | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Into Mischief | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Mustard | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Dawn | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gayelette | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Xi | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Delilah’s Revenge | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Franks Reload | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Appeal | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m No Sleepy Joe | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rare Discovery | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Manetka | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Speed | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Star | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Super Headline | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chancel | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Same Again Doc | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lament | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Laoban | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucys Child | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesomecrest | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Klimtoglory | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heat Merchant | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Bound | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dawson Silver | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cam Woolley | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saskatchewan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kinetic Stone | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Rivers Over | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pidin | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yorkville | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crumlin Lad | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aura of Gold | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Tempesta | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gem Quality | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Meister | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hai Bobbi | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marie MacKay | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Ballerina | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beat the System | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calle Ocho | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imagery | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Halfinthewrapper | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aubrieta | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Souper Success | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Checkerboard Floor | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salvator Mundi | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunspear | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Seamus | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commander Joe | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tycoon | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Feelthebeat | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmies Big Day | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Vigil S.) – Vigil S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Warp Ride | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red River Rebel | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Reserve | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Fortune | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clayton | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Overload | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Score | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockcrest | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Avie’s Flatter | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cruden Bay | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Giant Teddy | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | H C Holiday | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Long Pond | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shangassah | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Small Talk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Great Oz | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Icing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Newport Agent | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Smoke | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord of War | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eagle Chief | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Be Like Clint | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle of Yorktown | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | City Legend | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Alliance | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Intent | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infamous Covert | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blast in the Snow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Repeat the Heat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.