Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 25, 2022

September 25, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tara Tattoo 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Coo Bird 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Executive Chairman 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 C C’s Kingdom 2.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Sir Grayvenscroft 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Four Bounce 10.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Supremeaction 8.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Souper Pronto 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hilarious Affair 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rat Portage 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Magnificent Mario 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 I’m Into Mischief 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Colonel Mustard 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Last Dawn 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Gayelette 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lady Xi 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Delilah’s Revenge 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Franks Reload 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Seattle Appeal 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 I’m No Sleepy Joe 10.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Rare Discovery 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Manetka 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Quiet Speed 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Imperial Star 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Super Headline 10.00 1 2-1
12 12 Chancel 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Same Again Doc 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Lament 20.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Cool Laoban 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lucys Child 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Awesomecrest 6.00 4 7-1
13 13 Klimtoglory 2.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Heat Merchant 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Dixie Bound 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Dawson Silver 12.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Cam Woolley 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Saskatchewan 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kinetic Stone 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Two Rivers Over 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Pidin 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Yorkville 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Crumlin Lad 8.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Aura of Gold 10.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Midnight Tempesta 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Gem Quality 3.50 8.3 16-1
4 4 Alpha Meister 2.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hai Bobbi 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Marie MacKay 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Spanish Ballerina 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Beat the System 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Calle Ocho 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Imagery 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Halfinthewrapper 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 Aubrieta 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Souper Success 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Checkerboard Floor 4.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Salvator Mundi 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sunspear 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Sir Seamus 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Commander Joe 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Tycoon 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Feelthebeat 3.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Jimmies Big Day 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Vigil S.) – Vigil S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Warp Ride 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Red River Rebel 20.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Secret Reserve 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Forester’s Fortune 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Clayton 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Candy Overload 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Lucky Score 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Rockcrest 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Avie’s Flatter 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cruden Bay 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Giant Teddy 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 H C Holiday 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Long Pond 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Shangassah 10.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Small Talk 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 The Great Oz 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Frosted Icing 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Newport Agent 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Silver Smoke 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Lord of War 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Eagle Chief 15.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Be Like Clint 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Battle of Yorktown 10.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 City Legend 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Grand Alliance 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Quiet Intent 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Infamous Covert 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Blast in the Snow 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Repeat the Heat 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.