Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Please Be Kind | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Somebody Loves Me | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rolleston | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | South Georgia | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Braganza | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Literary | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Sister Sue | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Icarus | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Deep State | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Keepcalmcarryon | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Centurion | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sono Grato | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Declare the Moon | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Notable Exception | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Overly d’Oro | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princely | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let Me Love You | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cambiaso | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Secret | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghoststryder | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Motown Collection | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Trainer Please | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oncoming Train | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atras | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jesuit | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prestonsbird | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Out Work’n | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Time | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frisco Line | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Heritage | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted Nile | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Indra | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Diamond | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Peapod | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enchanted Nile | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Absolute Love | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mohaylady | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kimberley Dream | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Supremacy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ournationonparade | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wayakin | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ash Flat | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outlier | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tango Charlie | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonneman | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time for Champagne | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Star Pose | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Job’s Not Finished | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Camp Akeela | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time for Champagne | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Dame | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Susie’s Saver | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Recognize Me | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie’s Spirit | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonanza Grade | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shewillghostu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | West Will Power | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Helium | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Intrepid Heart | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Ethical Judgement | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Kittansett | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Vintage Print | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cupid’s Claws | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Keystone Field | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ice Blast | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Haig Point | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aktulgali | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iberville | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Blast | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Culture | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Optimus Kat | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vasariano | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tonal Impact | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fed Money | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tuanis | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Criminal Defense | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slicked Back | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Endless Sunset | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | American Pure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.