Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Johnnypump 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Distractandattack 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Musk 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Kith 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Charlies Safari 2.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Will Take Control 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thefabulous Moolah 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Without a View 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 No Sympathy 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Love That Face 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Pearls and Heels 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 One Wild Woman 5.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Another Saucy Six 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Turn It On 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Starship Rogue 3.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Hey Dewzpots 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lulinda’s Heart 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Risque’s Jewel 4.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Time to Two Step 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Spirit Or Spite 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Magnolia Road 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Green Screen Queen 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 I’ll Go All In 20.00 2.3 4-1
12 12 Irresistible Lady 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Morethanastorm 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Bai Bai Samurai 6.00 6.1 12-1
14 14 Blueberry Pie 6.00 7 13-1
8 8 Don’t B Ridiculous 8.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Destination Speed 6.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 So Swell 12.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Charly’s Choo Choo 20.00 10.4 20-1
2 2 Treasure Seeker 20.00 11 21-1
16 16 Cinnamon Dream 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Charlys Wild Angel 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dancing Sophia 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mulsanne (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Battle of Berlin 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Violent Rock 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Wegottaguy 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Masrour 2.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Imagine This 3.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Tequila Jr 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Bar On the Beach 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shewearsthepants 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Snow Forecast 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Still Alive 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Systemic Risk 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Brushing 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Princess Runaway 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Big Brown Eyes 15.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Freedom Cheer 8.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Misbehaving Lady 20.00 11.6 22-1
12 12 My Masterpiece 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ma de Taw 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Imperial Moon 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Baba 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 He’s Incredible 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Conquistador 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Federal Case 4.50 5 9-1
1 1 Jw’s Third Mischie 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Float On 3.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Hard West 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Pennsylvania Steel 8.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Catch My Vibe 15.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Tio Wil 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Drone Swarm 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Field Letters 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sapphire Royalty 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Six o’Clock Sarah 3.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Early Edition 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Clout Chaser 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Adhwaa 6.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Tilsa 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Chronology 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Eastern Bay 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Senior Investment 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Bourbon Calling 3.00 5 9-1
9 9 Zertz 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Thiscatcanjump 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Broad Street Bully 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Memory Bouquet 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Far Mo Power 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vine Jet 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Off the Meds 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Runningforhome 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Drena’s Bullet 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Uncle Ned 10.00 5 9-1
10 10 Tapsolute 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Wild Union 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Dubrovsky 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Just Nod and Smile 8.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Charlie the Greek 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Silver Fury 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Noon Time Gem 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.