Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 29, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Funny How 0 0-1
1 1 Firewolves 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Alessia 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Clairarific 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Funny How 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Arrogant Lady 4.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 Kitten’s Appeal 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Java Buzz 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Smoke and Heat 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Rocket’s Red Glare 1.20 2.1 4-1
2 2 Chucka Moon 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Union Lights 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Theregoesmymiracle 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Captain Quick 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Psychic Income 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Bertram F. Bongard S.) – Bertram F. Bongard S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Jackson Heights 0 0-1
4 4 Arctic Arrogance 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Donegal Surges 1.40 1.9 4-1
5 5 Jackson Heights 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Blame It On Daddy 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 General Banker 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prairie Fire 3.50 1 2-1
2 7 Viradia 1.60 2.1 4-1
7 8 U Guys Are No Fun 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 2 Big Q 6.00 2.5 5-1
2B 10 Alpine Queen 1.60 3.6 7-1
4 4 Daily Briefing 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Happy Sophia 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Shadolamo 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 9 She’s a Black Belt 15.00 6.7 13-1
1A 3 Mia Bea Star 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Canarsie 0 0-1
Canarsie 0 0-1
5 5 Canarsie 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nobilis 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Inspector 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Wanna Winna 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Screen Door 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mighty Atlas 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 D’ont Lose Cruz 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Tater and Tot 20.00 4 8-1
10 10 Shortsinthewinter 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Wynn Giant 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kept Waiting 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Keeper of Time (IRE) 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Hit the Woah 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Fouette 4.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Ready To Venture (GB) 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 A G Indy 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Piece of My Heart 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Assertive Style 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Good Governance (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Big Everest (GB) 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Ocala Dream 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Therapist 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Dreams of Tomorrow 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Anaconda 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Flop Shot (IRE) 4.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Starting Over 15.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 King Kumbalay 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Gasoline 0 0-1
5 5 Gasoline 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Affable Monarch 10.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Up to the Mark 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Unbridled Bomber 15.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Winit 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Cryo 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Golden Alchemist 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Good Skate 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Fromanothamutha 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Uncle Marty 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Shadow Dragon 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Thank You Jon 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 West Star 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Pagett 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Looms Boldly 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Deliberate Risk 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Leftembehind 8.00 6 11-1
10 10 Max Foster 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Hyper Speed 30.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Storm the Empire 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.