Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brew Casa | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Long Monday | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Bolt | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | M and M Girl | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brew Casa | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack’s Party Girl | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jazz Brunch | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Topper T | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tin Badge | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coco Bravado | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Retaliated | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoking Gun | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Applicant | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Sky | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aristocat | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joe Bill | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Earl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meet George Jetson | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Dude | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Molly Bye O | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Farrah Fowler | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Stroll | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stargrazer | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Espiridion | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aprettylulaby | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Be Sincere | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Rose | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good N Lucky | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smackin Good Time | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Biz | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Four Point Oh | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kamea | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bobbin Tail | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin Blessing | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clay’s Moon Stone | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Good Times | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Justice | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mizzen Air | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Contessa | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Phyllis | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic in a Hat | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nocturnal Mission | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Gi Gi | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Get Loud | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.