Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 29, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Is There a Forest 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 I Am I Said 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Carla’s Honor 10.00 4 7-1
1 1 Classic Queen 2.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Bettabe Swift 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Captivating Art 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Vivian Ann 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Careless Heiress 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Speedy Lynn 8.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Alpha Mia 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Vespolina 6.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Shes the North 3.50 7 13-1
2 2 Lincolnville Beach 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Winyah Bay 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Inspector Reload 4.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 New York Commander 20.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Pipestone 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brienne of Tarth 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hushemup 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Shazeen 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Moon Pool 3.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Salada 5.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Ivictory 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Dusty’s Chance 8.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Positive 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 She’s So Cold 20.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Mimi’s Holiday 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stole the Ring 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Nadiabizniz 12.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Jimmy Is a Breeze 2.50 1.3 2-1
13 13 La Princessa Polly 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Rookie Court 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Royal Chrome 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Keystone Law 20.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Lemon Drop Fox 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Hit Me Up 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Charlotte’s Silver 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Cee’nceesgreytness 4.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Reins of Purple 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 I’m Exceptional 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 First Frost 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sacred Dancer 1.40 1.3 2-1
7 7 Frac Tales 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lady in Red 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Our Souper Love 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Miss Brentwood 12.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Aqua Luna 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tiz Pure Grace 0 0-1
2 2 Hello Friends 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Red Equinox 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Bayou Belle 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Super Lunar 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Ghaaleb the Great 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Starlight Ridge 2.50 7.2 14-1
3 3 Gizmo’s B F F 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Endorphin Rush 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Northern Ruby 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Let’s Have Fun 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Valley Girl 1.60 4.2 8-1
2 2 Machisima 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Cool Society 4.50 6.1 11-1
4 4 Pluie d’Avril 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 San Nicola Star 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lillz Hope 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 My Baby Jane 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Forest Choice 4.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Free Carrycomb 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Laila’s Charm 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Want to Go Dancing 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Sweet Edition 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Pictureday Jessica 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Sunday Visit 8.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Into Empires Song 12.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Best Bank Shot 15.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.