Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 30, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr Fantasy 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Boppin Anda Weavin 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Seany P 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Awesummer 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Buttoned Up 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Strawberry Red 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Mega Millions 8.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Taino 15.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Vegas Life 20.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Running Violence 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Moon Me Again 3.00 1 2-1
1A 7 Coffee Essence 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 9 R Love On the Run 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 2 Bon Fire Diva 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Special Freedom 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 8 Market of Stocks 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Moon Biz 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Notion Interruptus 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 Luna Fortuna 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Cherokee Party 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Suppressor 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lunar Rocket 5.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Edmund Fitzgerald 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Aggrandize 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Bigshot On Nothing 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Addy’s Laddy T N T 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Brutus’ Legend 6.00 7 13-1
7 7 Luxury Boy 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Valiant Gabe 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Tax Free Shopping Distaff S.) – Tax Free Shopping Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Philadelphia Belle 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Gunfyre Gal 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Intrepid Daydream 1.20 2.1 4-1
1 1 Juror Number Four 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Confirmed Genius 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Malibu Beauty 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ever Summer 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Culdee 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Luminist 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Determined Gold 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Queen Lucky 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Candlestick Maker 1.80 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kelsey’s Shot 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Scent of Royalty 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (New Castle S.) – New Castle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Whereshetoldmetogo 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Threes Over Deuces 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 3 Indian Lake 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Tappin Cat 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Benandjoe 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mr Sandman 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Worlds On High 1.60 1 2-1
8 9 Crystalology 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 On Our Way Boyz 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Psychedelic Shack 1.40 4 8-1
1A 5 Uncle Roamie 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 7 Claudee Boy 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 8 Jest Above 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Superstitieux 6.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Uncle Remi 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 5 Mapache G 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hard Lighting 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 4 Branco Maria 10.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Heffner 3.00 2 4-1
10 10 Melina’s Dream 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Lifespan 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 1 Nantucketer 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Bourbon Over Ice 8.00 5.7 11-1
1A 12 Illustrious 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Snow Candy 15.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Stormy Bonnie 12.00 SCRATCH
2B 11 Braces 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.