Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 30, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Truce of God 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 King Sparrow 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Hello Jack 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Armor Piercing 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Joe’s Had Enough 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Man Ice 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Seax 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Bar Down Express 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dream of Blessings 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zodiac Princess 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cagua 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Rosa Star 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Isadorable Aida 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Karenville 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Real Doozie 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Divine Exchange 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Starship Nugget 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cloud Storage 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gem Cat 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Find Your Passion 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Naa Dudette 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Sara Kali 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Harlan’s Legacy 3.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Vai Bella 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Mo Time 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wandering West 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Royal Kitten 1.50 1 2-1
1 1 Exponential 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Gran Andrews 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Sir Kahn 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 In Honor of Artie 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Ocean Ride 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Action Warrior 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stellarator 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Dubstep 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Reaching Stride 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Disco Queen 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Interesting Gem 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Karen’s Revenge 30.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Crooklyn 30.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Yankee Dollar 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Shes Sky High 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shemightdancesalsa 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Boss Lady Kim 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Bunnynotbeast 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Golden Isle 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Code Name Lise 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Sade Purse 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 She’s Classy 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Roses for Ashley 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cashier Check 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Venezuelan Triumph 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 K. C. Chief 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Night Jumper 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Always Gambling 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Treasure King 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Bailador 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 King Silvio 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Old Town Road 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Uncork the Bottle 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mr Tito’s 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Chucky 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Ain’t Wasting Time 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Boldness 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Rebelde 4.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 Hierro 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 High Yield Kitten 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Positively Awesome 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Love My Job 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Patsy’s Girl 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Bullet On Tap 2.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Marthamaywhovier 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Crazy Passion 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Song of the Heart 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Ave Fenix 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Kingdom’s Spirit 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Frosty Secret 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.