Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 30, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eleazar 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Chrome Dixie 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Sunday Mischief 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Great Assumptions 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Chauffeur 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Spritzer 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Panna Mine 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Winston’s Gold 20.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Flash Is Back 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Refund Rigler 5.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Kefi 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Read the Spec 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Preacher Amos 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Rascally Rebel 2.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Gro 6.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Buck Wild 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 I Am the Mike 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Over the Border 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Last Scip 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Crossland 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Tequila 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Grand Manner 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Mailman’s a Flyer 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Rip It 20.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Sweet Street 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Gundry 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Union League 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tappin Josie 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lady Serenity 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Bosserati 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Condescending 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Miss Georgie 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Don’t Tell Deren 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Gormley’s Gabriela 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Hearditall 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Artemus Bridge 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Smile Bryan 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Battalion 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 U S Constitution 3.50 4 7-1
4 4 Beltway Bob 10.00 7 13-1
9 9 Go Poke the Bear 6.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Resident Liberal 15.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Dancing Til Dusk 10.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 This Ill Defend 6.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Fermat 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forloveofcountry 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Boss Logic 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Closer Look 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Up Against It 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Vinny 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Millean 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 One Two Kid 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Erawan 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mit Mazel 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Champagne Toast 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Quiet Imagination 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Preparefortakeoff 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Dry Well 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Flimsy 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Startwithabang 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Chica Rabiosa 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hitch a Ride 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Grand Skylark 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Flirtatious Lass 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Queen Sheba 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Miranda’s Desmond 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Sparkle Sprinkle 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Winked 12.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Gals Gal 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Caribbean (AUS) 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Walk Away Joe 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Kershaw 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Welling 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bumperdoo 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Absentee 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Uncle Jerome 15.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.