Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 30, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Naismith 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 The Key Is Unity 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Lil Bro Coop 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Percolate (IRE) 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Kawazaki (IRE) 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Batukhan (IRE) 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mongolian Ninja 30.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 English Encounter 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Crimson Rose 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Spanish Channel 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Anna Volante 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Darling Donna 1.60 3.8 7-1
4 4 Never Sway 4.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Shemakescents 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Bulletproof One 1.80 1 2-1
6 5 Stella Noir 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Sterling Crest (IRE) 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 1 Outside the Law 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Freedom Flyer 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 98 Pammy’s Ready 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Conundrum 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Comradery (IRE) 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Shady Empire 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Butkus 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Party Town 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 I Know Cash Flow 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 La Deuxieme Etoile 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magic Game 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Candy On Top 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Finnley’s Kitten 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 A Little Bit Crazy 2.50 5 10-1
3 3 Smart Monique 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Starship Sky 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Liberalism 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Smilin Evie 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Awesome Pamela 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Roman Empress 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Whiskey Blue 4.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Beignet 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Dashing Demi 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kid Azteca 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gaelic Nation (IRE) 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Russells Hustle 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 First Peace 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Pacific States 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Dr. Soulfire 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Napoleonic Code 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Buffett 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tio Magico 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 I’ll Stand Taller 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Redline 1.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 It’s My House 10.00 2 4-1
6 6 Traegar 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Speight and Malice 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kazuhiko (AUS) 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 National Generaux (IRE) 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 New York Dreams (GB) 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 La’och Aloysius 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Tokamak 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Crypto Munny 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Pass Interference 20.00 8 15-1
6 6 Curly Esa 5.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.