Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 30, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stealth Mission 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Three Mile Limit 10.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Stolen Money 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Laraque 1.60 3.5 7-1
1 1 All Time Classic 2.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Determined Friend 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Snookered 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Unbridled Inferno 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Free Shipping 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Why Not Bourbon 10.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Pot Committed 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 William’s Cause 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Ngabe 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Social Justice 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Smart Society 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Settebello 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Lilnmighty 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Moon Over Montana 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 War Giant 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Epilogue 1.20 2.6 5-1
7 7 Dani’s Victory 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Breathlessnthesand 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Mesa Skyline 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Society Joe 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Poseidon Steel 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bet N Win 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Star Chamber 15.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Classy Whisper 6.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Nonno’s Little Boy 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Citrus Boy 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Giant One 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Repeat the Heat 3.50 6.1 11-1
7 7 Infamous Covert 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She Makes a Point 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Silver Magnatized 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Gal Wonder (GB) 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Amazin Queen 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Lady Brew 4.50 6.2 12-1
7 7 Vivid Vixen 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Luz de La Luna 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chunky Monkey 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Red Flare 12.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Mr. De 2.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Uptown Lights 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Where Is Essa 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Last Monarch 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Cerebro 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Raise a Profit 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tapthespeedofsound 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Blast in the Snow 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Midway Mischief 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 More Than a Dance 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Taranto Titan 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Cupid’s Dude 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Nikolaou 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pemberley 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Keep It Neat 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bequia 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Who Says 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Jolene Jolene 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Umneyaat 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Buttered Toast 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Magic Spin 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bartica 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 Mia and Me 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Ultimate Answer 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Red Mavrik 15.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Mystic Point 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Hardware Gap 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Jack Slye 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Black Boganda 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Red Zeppelin 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Primordial Fear 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.