Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 1, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Fashionista 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Banterra 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Vax 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Pretty Miss Keens 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Clover Street 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Reign of Thunder 20.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Downtown Mischief 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Freydis the Red (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Justifiable Belle 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 La Vita Sofia 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 River Oaks 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Nyxed 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Senora Loca 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Junipermarshmallow 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hola Gata 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Idea Generation (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tapizearance 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lost in Rome 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Invest 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 American Lincoln 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Runabout 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Manifest Destiny 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Our Philly Special 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brattle House 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Vegas Weekend 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Bees and Honey 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Halo City 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Flashndynamite 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Love and Love 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Honey Money 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Town Square 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mount Up 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Full Moon Madness 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Cascais 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Magiadoro 15.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Limits of Power 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Inflationary 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Hineni 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golquist 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sheriff Bianco 5.00 2.1 4-1
15 15 Storm Shooter 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Bold Journey 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Courageoous Oh La 10.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 War Terminator 3.50 6.5 12-1
3 3 Box of Joe 30.00 6.8 13-1
14 14 Fenway 6.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Two Down 15.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Hudson Overpass 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Athenry 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 King Moonracer 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mister Chairman 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Frank’s Art 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Sell Something 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Woodward S.) – Woodward S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Life Is Good 0.11 1 2-1
4 4 Keepmeinmind 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Law Professor 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Informative 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Thomas Shelby 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Miss Grillo S.) – Miss Grillo S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alluring Angel (GB) 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Be Your Best (IRE) 1.20 2 4-1
2 2 Free Look 1.80 3.2 6-1
3 3 Pleasant Passage 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Im Just Kiddin 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Georgees Spirit 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Belmont Turf Sprint S.) – Belmont Turf Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Voodoo Zip 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Arzak 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Thin White Duke 4.50 4.1 8-1
11 11 Chewing Gum 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Yes and Yes 10.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Scuttlebuzz 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Value Proposition (GB) 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Seven Scents 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Dancing Buck 6.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Greeley and Ben 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Nothing Better 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Noble Emotion 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fauci 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Champagne S.) – Champagne S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Gulfport 0 0-1
6 6 Gulfport 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Top Recruit 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Verifying 1.80 3.9 7-1
4 4 Champions Dream 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Blazing Sevens 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Andiamo a Firenze 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ribot’s Valentine 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tellaperfecttale 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Kant Hurry Love 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Silver Fist 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Captainsdaughter 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Carbon 5.00 5 10-1
10 10 Patria 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Captivating Cara 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Brooklyn Heights 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Liberty Flame 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.