Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 1, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speightster Red 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ekati’s Verve 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Felix the Fox 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Ingreido 10.00 4 7-1
2 2 Braces 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Noicattaro 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Snow Candy 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sunny Saint 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 John’s Promise 10.00 1 2-1
9 10 Nimble Beast 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 1 Swing West 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 9 Fast Cash 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 6 Rack Gin 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 7 Jeezum Jim 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 2 Yabba Dabba Dude 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 3 Sutton Valley 12.00 7 13-1
1A 5 Unidentified Man 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Pepe and Heywood 12.00 8.2 15-1
11 12 Flat Lucky 3.50 SCRATCH
7 8 Fran’s Worrier 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speak Unity 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Award Nominated 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Epic Luck 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Loose Ends 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Stacks of Silver 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Soros 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Crafty Don 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Akingisalwaysking 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Rush Hour Traffic 10.00 1 2-1
13 13 Pie Killer 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Decoupage 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Castilleja 12.00 4.5 9-1
1A 15 My Boss Lady 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 3 Inanna’s Quest 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Eight Danzas 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 1 Towering Gaze 20.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 Tiz Her Way 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Extravagant Rosie 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Memphis Showboat 4.50 SCRATCH
1 5 Riveting Spirit 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 In a Spin 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Chorus Girl 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sevier 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Souper Catch 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Flat Out Flying 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Scar 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 No Salt 4.50 5.4 10-1
12 12 Ellas My Love 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Gigging 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Shoot Themessenger 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Twitty City 12.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Illustrious 20.00 10.6 20-1
4 4 Iywaan 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pickford 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ghost Stalker 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (George Rosenberger Memorial S.) – George Rosenberger Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Malibu Beauty 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Thisnameisokay 15.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 State Crown 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Factor In 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 B B’s Busted 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mosalah 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Viburnum 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Klayton’s Kandy 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Downtown Katie 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tequilera 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Dtha Governors Day H.) – Dtha Governors Day H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shackqueenking 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 American Patrol 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Guillaume 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Zabracadabra 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Monday Morning Qb 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Amatteroftime 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Bobby G 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Iywaan 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crabs N Beer 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Aerial Assault 4.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Sovereign Warrior 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Turnpike Bob 4.50 5.3 10-1
12 12 Under the Radar 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Mission Key 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Fole’s Notion 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Out of Towner 20.00 10 19-1
4 4 Borgobythesea 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bold Licorice 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 The Skipster 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Damir 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kratos 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Nantasket Beach 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Dillingham 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tiz Herself 2.50 2.6 5-1
12 12 Misty Taste 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Princess Adira 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Gold Time Vixen 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Viking Queen 10.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Flava’s Dream 12.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Party Monster 20.00 12.1 23-1
6 6 Charity Stripe 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hush Y’all 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sour Mash 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 R Tenderoni 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 She’s Got Game 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lady Jean 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dancer’s Melody 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Ghost Maiden 6.00 2.4 4-1
12 12 Alarm Clock 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Reiterate 10.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Unrequited Love 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Show’em Who’s Boss 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Ms. Malevolence 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Kirby 20.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Untouched Elegance 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Heart Full of Soul 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Luckbealadytonight 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stroll Smokin 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Drive by Layover 10.00 3 6-1
11 11 Mutakaamil 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Bailey 6.00 5.2 10-1
13 13 Otis Otis Otis 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Muchacho Macho 8.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 San Antone 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Odds On 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Kevin Witte 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Instigated 4.50 6.9 13-1
9 9 Classy Solution 15.00 10.6 20-1
2 2 Baptize the Boy 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Top Boss 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Uptown Belle 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Emme Roo 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Hidden Springs 3.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Normalizeddeviance 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Ruby Dooby Doo 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Princess Zuri 15.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Lil Zoie 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Expect a Circus 15.00 9 17-1
8 8 Caprichosa 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stepstones 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Buffum’s Beauty 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.