Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 1, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Amore Moon 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lord Joan 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Baby Blue 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Flat Out Cool 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Presencia 4.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Blame the Vets 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Marimba 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Bella Miura 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 The Cuban Missile 30.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Casarena Hottie 30.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Her Greatness 30.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Lizqueenfluerdelis 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Nurse Judy Whitney 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Joyful Surprise 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 On Jet Heir 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 War Feather 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Pipito 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Lost a Legend 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Candenza 5.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Bach 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Action Dream 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mister Suppa Louie 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Futuristic 1.60 2.5 5-1
2 2 Extraction Will 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Camptown Races 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Corporate Affair 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Travelingbluesman 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Cajun Cracker 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Minister Quinn 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Earth 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 New York’s Finest 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Frenchmen Street 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Katie’s Cowboy 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Star Weaver 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Zamfir 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Sassy But Smart 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Ask for Bode 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Atthecrossroads 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Omo Ten Girl 4.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Sofia D ‘amore 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Major Pryce 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Wicklow Gal 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Charlie’s Wish 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Britty 30.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Rebate 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Sturdy Girl 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fly the W 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 King Theo 5.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Benelux 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Poco Charlie 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Spin Rate 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Thenorthremembers 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Farley 30.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Especiallea 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Gray Hope 30.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Osprey 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mister Leonardo 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Gil Campbell Memorial H.) – Gil Campbell Memorial H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Noble Drama 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cattin 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Clapton 8.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Gatsby 1.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 Shivaree 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Dean Delivers 1.60 3 6-1
7 7 Klugman 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Sociallongdistance 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lynx 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Cajun Tease 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Time Passage 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Atomically 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Guardian Angel 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Dreaming in Style 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 High Fashion Lady 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Dorth Vader 12.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Marvelous Lady 15.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Sherlyn Go Go 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Picking Up Pennies 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 The Skipper Too 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Reddington 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Universal Payday 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Assertiko 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Morgan Point 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Frosted Armour 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Smokin Bow 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 No More Business 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Awesome Strong 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Turbo 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Apocalypso 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Knox 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Commandant 15.00 4 8-1
12 12 Hard to Handle 8.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Cajun Hope 30.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Tigre 15.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Fifty One Fifty 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Diamond Cool 30.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Belts ‘n Brooks 30.00 9.5 18-1
7 7 Rockin Roller 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rubysa 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dancin Dee 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Hotter Than July 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Knowwhentofoldem 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Semiramis 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Hot Bode 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Hardspun Woman 12.00 3 6-1
11 11 Novelera 12.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 C C’s Freedom 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Atomic Rose 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Montana Joyce 30.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Unbridled Chrome 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.