Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 1, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Senson 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dreaming of Audrey 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 La Familia 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Rock Rose 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Salamina 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Shyla Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Super Sally 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 A Girl Named Jac 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Secret Archangel 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cami Rachelle 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Waverley 8.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Ober Dare 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Anath 15.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Lucidity 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Grass Cutter 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Theola Fuggins 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Carmel Sunrise 2.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Concert Hall 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sweet Factor 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Wildcat Girl 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unadulterated 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 I’m Gittin There 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Miss Chamita 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Romantic Comedy 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 She’s All Courage 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Heartburn 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Red Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Watch Your Tone 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trophy Room 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bo’s Bourbon 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Duke of Dooly 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Bonded 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Barb’s Pride 3.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Danny’s Winkster 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Double Bid 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Elusive Image 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Laurel Futurity) – Laurel Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Free Soul 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Freedom Road 3.00 1.7 3-1
13 13 Roan Burgundy 4.00 3 6-1
11 11 Splendor Beauty 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Congruent 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Otago 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Quincy Cafe 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 We Dont Need Roads 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Fun Lovin Criminal 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Dandy Handyman 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hendrickson 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fire Baron 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Dataman 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Challedon S.) – Challedon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Yodel E. A. Who 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Air Token 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Factor It In 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Torch of Truth 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Excellorator 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Famished 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Crouchelli 15.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Backnthewoods 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Treasure Tradition 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Goldenize 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Selima S.) – Selima S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Born Dapper 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 What an Honor 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Anotherdaygoneby 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Majesty’s Freedom 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lady Azteca 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 The Classy One 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Bee Mountain 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Cha Cha Tap 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Private Credit 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Delight 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lifelovenlaughter 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Twixt S.) – Twixt S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Battle Bling 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Coach 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Jilted Bride 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Breviary 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Click to Confirm 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 The Grass Is Blue 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hybrid Eclipse 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Malibu Beauty 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Japan Turf Cup S.) – Japan Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Beacon Hill 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Bizzee Channel 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Burning Bright 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Samui Sunset 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Carrothers 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Armando R 2.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 What Say Thee 15.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Vance Scholars 20.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Oceans Map 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Basso 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Royne 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bliss This 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dynamite Duke 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Connecting 2.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Blameitonthefun 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Inkosi 3.50 6.6 12-1
9 9 Neverfold 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Notion to Tapit 15.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Playing Gold 15.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Oboy 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.