Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 1, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Future Of Iowa S.) – Future Of Iowa S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Streakin Jesszee 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mr Kool Rancherita 8.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Louisiana Wagon 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Trs Amazing Gracie 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Kays Dynasty 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Apollitical Queen 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Rmlilkoolprincess 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Vals Sizzling Lips 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Terrace Hill S.) – Terrace Hill S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Iris Royal Jess 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cr Appollitical Joe 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Ts Perry Kool 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Loaded Resume 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Kornfusion 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Elbullseye 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Iris Cowboy Casanova 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Ts Dash to the End 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Polk County Derby) – Polk County Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rakin in Mo 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Lil Pete El Soruyo 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sfs Alice Strikes 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Candy and Corona 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Vals Sizzling Lips 5.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Lil Pistol Pete 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Famous Coronado 8.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Colies Kiss 10.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Kool Aid Wagon 12.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Tell Her Hes Candy 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Futurity) – Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dashin Davey Crocket 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lil Racy Blu 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Ec Wagon 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Duke of Cartel 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Racing the Rails 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Tuffazznailz 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Joda Tempting Jet 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Ts Attack the End 15.00 7.7 14-1
7 7 Jesstrong Corona 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Perrysfirstmoonflash 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pistol Packin Man 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dixie Three G 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Tactical Rebel 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Ruling the Roost 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Native Hellraiser 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Bizzy Run 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 One Last Chant 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Star of Mine 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 War Ron 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Chinlee 3.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Big Pines Sandy 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Riding the Train 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 My Bobby McGee 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 All Over Oliver 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Twirling Chief 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 American Posse 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Sir Eli 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Apollo Bay 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Iowa Cradle S.) – Iowa Cradle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tyler’s Tribe 0.60 1 2-1
3 3 Palace Guard 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 I Love Rocknstroll 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 C R Insta Gator 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Acceleritas 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Big Luke 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Iowa Breeders’ Derby) – Iowa Breeders’ Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ain’t Life Grand 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Finish Up 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Ships On Fire 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Spalding Stroll 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Late for Lunch 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Midnight Rules 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Freddy J 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Fleet of Hoof 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Iowa Sorority S.) – Iowa Sorority S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Happiness 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bonnieview 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Lavender Lil 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Batter Up Betty 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Sing Lucy Sing 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hard Spirits 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Lady Damaris 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 S C Skylars Empire 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Donna Reed S.) – Donna Reed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kela’s Turn 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Bossy Moment 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Angel’s Melody 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Stonecold Stunner 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Snapy Gal 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Sassy Ain’t I 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Olive Oyl 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Iowa Breeders’ Oaks) – Iowa Breeders’ Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Just Like Trista 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Flat Out Stormin 12.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Interstella 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 I Think I Know You 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Kayla 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Miss Peach 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Ebony Pearl 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Samira 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Centerfold 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Dan Johnson Sprint S.) – Dan Johnson Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mollies Rocket 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Woke Up in Love 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Basic Chance 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Our Last Chance 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Scrutinizer 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Cowboy Casanova 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Jaysker 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Justa Streak 15.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Secret Blarney 10.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Years Fly By 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Governor Terry E. Branstad S.) – Governor Terry E. Branstad S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Minecraft Maniac 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sir Wally Wally 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Time Goes On 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 You Talkin to Me 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Greedy Creedy 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Whiskey Wednesday 5.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Smart N Intuitive 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Allen’s Rocket 10.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Running Alex’sband 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.