Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 1, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Devil Moon 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dancing Rinca 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 One More Bid 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Quintecents 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Chicago Soldier (IRE) 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Key Player 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Lord Sheldon 6.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 One Time Mark 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Little Rachel 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bowl of Cherries 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Equilove (IRE) 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Annie Graham 1.20 3.5 7-1
6 6 Tiz a Master 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Saturday Heist 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (John Henry Turf Championship S.) – John Henry Turf Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Masteroffoxhounds 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Breakpoint (CHI) 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Cash Equity (FR) 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Tropical Terror 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kristi’s Tiger 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Smoothlikebuttah 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Angel Nadeshiko 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Fun to Dream 1.20 3.5 7-1
1 1 Myfavoritedaughter 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Anacapa 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (City Of Hope Mile S.) – City Of Hope Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beyond Brilliant 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Cathkin Peak (IRE) 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Irideo (ARG) 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Tarantino 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Prince Abama (IRE) 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Kanderel 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 C Z Rocket 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Forbidden Kingdom 1.80 2.4 4-1
3 3 Howbeit 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Kid Corleone 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Super Ocho (CHI) 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 None Above the Law 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Todo Fino (CHI) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Eddie D S.) – Eddie D S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lane Way 0 0-1
4 4 Gregorian Chant (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Coulthard (IRE) 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Lane Way 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Goliad 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Dubai Key (ARG) 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Air Force Red 5.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Tango Tango Tango 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Barristan The Bold (GB) 30.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Whatmakessammyrun 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Awesome Again S.) – Awesome Again S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Country Grammer 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Express Train 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Royal Ship (BRZ) 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Tripoli 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Slow Down Andy 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Defunded 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Azul Coast 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 High Connection 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Unzip Me S.) – Unzip Me S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Connie Swingle 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Brandon’smylawyer 8.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Island of Love (IRE) 5.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Tezzaray (GB) 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Pammy’s Ready 10.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Countess Rosina (IRE) 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Delmona (IRE) 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Briefcase Girl 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Grace Adler 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lexington Humor 12.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Gem Mine 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Candy Caramel 0 0-1
9 9 Candy Caramel 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Cahuilla 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 The Dance Between 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Mi Mimita 4.00 3 6-1
13 13 Kanthara 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Broadway Girls 12.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 Good as Gone 30.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Pleasant Wave 10.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Cheekiest 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Mizztify Doll 6.00 7 13-1
10 10 Ragtime Rose 15.00 8 15-1
3 3 Poetica 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dash Away 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.