Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 1, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 First Spring 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 I’m Dashing 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Muromec 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Cryptic Creed 12.00 4 7-1
3 3 Kosmonavt 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Self Inflicted 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Trinity Gold 2.50 6.1 12-1
8 8 Fifth Season 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Free Cat 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 Primordial Fear 12.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Chairman Fox 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Midnight Ramblin 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Uncompromising 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Velocito 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mia’s Majesty 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Mahogony Wildcat 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Nepomuceno 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Master Spy 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Handcarved 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Race for Pinks 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Call My Banker 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Blue Max 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Bright Devil (IRE) 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Bound Lucky 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Download 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crumlin Time 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bella Nina 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Savvy’s Sister 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Cheeky Pint 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Under the Eye 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Anita Grigio 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Glovanna 20.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Call Her Joey 6.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Stormy Suzie 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Capoeira 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Stormy Derby Day 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twister Alert 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lois Len 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Forest B 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Gamble’s Silver 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sterling Speed 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Loaded Question 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Oheavens 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forever Dixie 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Renegade Rebel 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Crumlin Beast 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 War’s End Kiss 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Centenary 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Our Liberty Belle 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Ravello Beauty 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Aha Moment 12.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Stolen 8.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 British Crown 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Society’s Kat 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fast’n Sexy 5.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Katchy Name 3.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 I’m a Bourbon Girl 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Beyla Be Good 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Domer Allure 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Our Flag Flying 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Silent Sky 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Flowers ‘n Berries 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Stuff 20.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Holiday With Amy 20.00 7.1 13-1
14 14 Rifling 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Strike the Pose 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Seattle Signal 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 What’s My Name 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ms Vancougar 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Keyflower (FR) 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Amalfi Sky 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Inthewinnerscircle 2.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Saratoga Vision 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Silent Causeway 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Duchess S.) – Duchess S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Loyalty 0 0-1
9 9 Pharoah’s Song 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Loyalty 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Join the Dance 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Souper Hoity Toity 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Hollywood Walk 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Pioneer’s Edge 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tasweya 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Empress Tigress 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Curlin Candy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ladywearsthering 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gambling Cat 10.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Urban 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Spider Belle 20.00 3 6-1
3 3 Ephrata (GB) 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Guileful 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Silvestri (FR) 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Kitten’s Romance 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 I Have an Idea 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Magic Ride 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gabby Squared 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Cardio Princess (JPN) 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Moqadama (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.