Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First Spring | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Dashing | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muromec | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cryptic Creed | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kosmonavt | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Self Inflicted | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trinity Gold | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fifth Season | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Free Cat | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Primordial Fear | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chairman Fox | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Ramblin | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncompromising | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Velocito | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mia’s Majesty | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mahogony Wildcat | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nepomuceno | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Master Spy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handcarved | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Race for Pinks | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call My Banker | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Max | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Devil (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bound Lucky | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Download | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crumlin Time | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Nina | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Savvy’s Sister | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheeky Pint | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Under the Eye | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anita Grigio | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glovanna | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Call Her Joey | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stormy Suzie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Capoeira | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Derby Day | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twister Alert | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lois Len | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forest B | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gamble’s Silver | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Speed | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loaded Question | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oheavens | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forever Dixie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Renegade Rebel | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crumlin Beast | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War’s End Kiss | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Centenary | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Our Liberty Belle | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ravello Beauty | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aha Moment | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stolen | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | British Crown | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Society’s Kat | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast’n Sexy | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Katchy Name | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m a Bourbon Girl | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyla Be Good | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Domer Allure | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Flag Flying | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Sky | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flowers ‘n Berries | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stuff | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Holiday With Amy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rifling | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Strike the Pose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Seattle Signal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | What’s My Name | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ms Vancougar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keyflower (FR) | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amalfi Sky | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inthewinnerscircle | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Vision | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Causeway | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Duchess S.) – Duchess S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loyalty | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Pharoah’s Song | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loyalty | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Join the Dance | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Hoity Toity | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Walk | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer’s Edge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tasweya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Empress Tigress | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Curlin Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ladywearsthering | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gambling Cat | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Urban | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spider Belle | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ephrata (GB) | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guileful | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silvestri (FR) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Romance | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Have an Idea | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magic Ride | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gabby Squared | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cardio Princess (JPN) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Moqadama (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.