Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 2, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spelterini 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Good Sam 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Seduction 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Fireline 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Relay 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Magic Miss 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Risk Free 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Kaon 0 0-1
1 1 Certified Loverboy 10.00 1 2-1
9 10 Ari Gold 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Conversing 2.50 3.1 6-1
2B 8 Please Baby 12.00 4 7-1
3 2 Kid America 10.00 4.2 8-1
1A 12 Dubyuhnell 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 11 Kaon 4.00 4.5 8-1
2 4 Scat Tu Tap 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 Enzo’s World 50.00 9.7 18-1
8 9 American Halite 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wideright 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Scramble 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Royal Prince 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ocean Atlantique 2.50 3.9 7-1
10 10 No Burn 1.40 4.7 9-1
9 9 Will Sing for Wine 2.00 5 9-1
11 11 War Stopper 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Nathan Detroit 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Soulmate 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Call Me Harry 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Kinenos 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dominate Themoment 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Easy Time 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Iron Lion in Zion 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Blu Grotto 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Southern Passage 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Misbehaved 2.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Eminency 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Jay’stalker 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Alite 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Scotto 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kong Loves a Fight 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Secret Thunder 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Churro 3.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Blame D Rule Maker 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Second and Reed 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Cara’s Prince 30.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Winning Connection 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Flawless Cat 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Mr Bob 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Flashy Alex 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jane Grey 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wasp 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Spiked 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Missy Greer 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Mariah’s Fortune 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Hop Picker 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Frost Me 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Mashnee Girl 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Fasig-tipton Waya S.) – Fasig-tipton Waya S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Capital Structure (GB) 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Coastana 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Rocky Sky (IRE) 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Tass 15.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Gladys 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Lovely Lucky 30.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Flying Fortress 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Flirting Bridge (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Frizette S.) – Frizette S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chocolate Gelato 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 The Great Maybe 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 You’re My Girl 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Leave No Trace 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Vedareo 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 American Rockette 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Raging Sea 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Pilgrim S.) – Pilgrim S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 I’m Very Busy 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Battle of Normandy 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Major Dude 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Fly Right 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Lachaise 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Dataman 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Ramblin’ Wreck 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Noble Huntsman 20.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Torigo 20.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Bramble Blaze 30.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Movisitor 30.00 7 13-1
8 8 Vacation Dance 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Frenchboro 4.00 1 2-1
15 15 Great Workout 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 I Am the Law 10.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Royal Tryst 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Patient Capital 10.00 5 9-1
16 16 Corkman 3.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Hollywoodhellraisr 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Jake Rocks 15.00 6.1 11-1
14 14 Top of the Mint 6.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Bricco 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Uncle George 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Inflation Adjusted 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cagney 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hatch 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shinsun 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Relate 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.