Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 2, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Wolfman 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 0.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Prince Jersey Town 0.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Boondoggle 0.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Tom Terrific 0.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Shoulda Had It 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 General J R 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Icy Intent 0.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Easy as A. B. C. 0.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Pay the Squid 0.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Fletcher 0.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Southern Lad 0.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Harbor Moon 0.00 6.6 13-1
12 12 Candidate 0.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Code of Kings 0.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Sir Lumpalot 0.00 11.1 21-1
8 8 Jeby 0.00 11.2 21-1
11 11 Kitten Around 0.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Never Satisfied 0 0-1
2 2 Superstitieux 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 One America 0.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Never Satisfied 0.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Sponsored 0.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Sue Loves Barbados 0.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Liberty Star 0.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Jet Speed 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 His Royal G 0.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Mad Genius 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mi Yayis 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sapphire Beauty 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Chasing Artemis 0.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Victorian Riviera 0.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Doomscroller 0.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Little Miss Minion 0.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Hov Lane 0.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Red Priestess 0.00 9.8 18-1
7 7 Sakari 0.00 10 19-1
9 9 Conductance 0.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 I Have Courage 0.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Mamba 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rol Again Dancer 0.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Torrone 0.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Recruiter 0.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Johnyz From Albany 0.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Coffeewithchris 0.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Cavalry Command 0.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 R B’s the Boss 0.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 The Colora Kid 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Front Dancer 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Katie’s Notion 0.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Espresso Lungo 0.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Take Charge Too 0.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Phra Phrom 0.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Rare Breed 0.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Jebster 0.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Jahez 0.00 10.2 19-1
12 12 Rennie 0.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Drama’s Prayer 0.00 10.8 20-1
11 11 Your Analysis 0.00 10.9 21-1
3 3 El Bailador 0.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
My Lovely Girl 0 0-1
5 5 Chambeau 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Spicy Margarita 0.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Double Fireball 0.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Stony Point 0.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Ellanation 0.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Paisley Singing 0.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 Get the Candy 0.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Targe 0.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Whiteknuckleflyer 0.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Roselba 0.00 8.8 17-1
15 15 Juxtapose 0.00 9 17-1
14 14 Response Time 0.00 10.6 20-1
3 3 Canvas Art 0.00 10.6 20-1
2 2 Igloo 0.00 13.2 25-1
7 7 My Lovely Girl 0.00 14.2 27-1
16 16 Sequin Lady 0.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I Can Run 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Alta Velocita 0.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Canoodle 0.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Noble Bid 0.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 My My Girl 0.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Canadian Ginger 0.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Behind the Couch 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Appraisal 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Amicalola Falls 0.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Great Camanoe 0.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Heads Or Tails 0.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Captain Cardo 0.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Billingsgate 0.00 5 10-1
3 3 Gerrys Gem 0.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.