Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 2, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Can’t Make Me 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Street Ringer 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Bit a Bad News 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 I Guess Not 8.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Freeia Tap 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Adios Okoboji 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Snap’n Tap 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Redneckerthanyou 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Road Bible 1.80 2.9 5-1
3 3 Andiamo Giacomo 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Chicago Chrome 3.50 5 10-1
2 2 Nosbor 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stroll Likn Outlaw 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Day Money 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Milton Street 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Stop the Storm 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mr. Prime Time 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sole Survivor 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Makabim 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Deanos Cape 3.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Irish Valor 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Turfy 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Hoping for a Ring 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Have a Plan 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mystery Man 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Broadway Pete 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Drill’s Li’l Man 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Mahomes 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Good Scout 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Sams Time 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Samira 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sabria 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Mischief Mama 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 A J’s Ride 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Tasha 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Bayleywick 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American Sue 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 What Now My Love 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Remittance Sent 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Lulus Flight Boots 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Shy Runner 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Kitty Catty 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Barbed Wire 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Gotta Have Faith 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moro Wolf 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Not Rocket Science 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Lucky Louie 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Old Trafford 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Firecracker Stand 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Stage Door 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Three Time Charmer 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Matchlock 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Gone With the Finn 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Apollo Bay 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bet You a Beer 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Willtobelucky 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Cool Cat Charlie 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Camps Bay 10.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Pinson 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Colorful Native 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Point of Impact 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 God’s Pick 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Libertarian 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Five O One 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Caesartheruler 10.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Larch 3.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Sailor Chow 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Shweet Persuasion 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Say It Nicely 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Rock City Roadhog 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Dark Hedges 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Foxy Ace 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Steelman 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Super Cindy 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Present Time 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mambo Girl 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Glome 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Zelick 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Hot Summer Dream 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Blingo 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gucci Bling 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lake Radio 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lode of Blarney 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Lord of the Palace 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Prideofdixiecreed 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Captain Don 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Billy Yank 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Justa Streak 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Murdo 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mind Your Own 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bug a Boo 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Annieway U Want It 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Raisin Raisin 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Kasa 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Add It All Up 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Confetti Betty 10.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Addababy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Discreet Invasion 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Daahers Bully 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Take Me Up Brady 8.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Ginger Rules 3.50 4.7 9-1
12 12 It’s All About Joe 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Itsallaboutyou 15.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Mafia Don 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Nasty Exaggerator 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Tap the Brakes 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Woke Up Wild 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cobymeister 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lancelot N Elaine 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Shut Up Man 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.