Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 2, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pride of the Nile 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 La Peer 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Three Strands 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Fourth Street 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Bolts Babe 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Jennifer’s d’Light 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Dash Away 8.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Hard But Smart 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Micky From Wexford 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Nice Guy Clay 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Troubadour 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Pioneering Papa 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Dutch Bus 3.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Kattath 5.00 6 11-1
6 6 Constant Conflict 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tea N Conversation 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Divinely Bolt 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Anacaro 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Ami Please 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Half Nelson 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Spanish Destiny 4.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Thread Count 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Rose Rose Rose 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Zenyatta S.) – Zenyatta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Samurai Charm 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Midnight Memories 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 3 Soothsay 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Awake At Midnyte 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Empire House 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Speakeasy S.) – Speakeasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Straighten Up 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ah Jeez 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Helladic 5.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Speed Boat Beach 0.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Mas Rapido (GB) 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Wound Up 20.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Arman 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Flame Rider 30.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Taltariate 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Chillingworth S.) – Chillingworth S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ce Ce 0 0-1
3 3 Ce Ce 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Under the Stars 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Teddy’s Barino 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Cover Version 30.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Scenic Masterpiece 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 My Destiny 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Orth 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Queen’s Code 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Synnin and Winnin 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Street Humor 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Exclamation 20.00 4 7-1
5 5 Bag’s Gold 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Memorandum 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Smile for Glory 8.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Billbernjoejohnick 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Tokyo City Cup S.) – Tokyo City Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tizamagician 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Heywoods Beach 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Extra Hope 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Storm the Court 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Avenue 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Govenor’s Party 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Win the Day 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Newgrange 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carpe Fortuna 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 Shes’a Perfectlady 5.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Bleu Ballon 8.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Gem Mine 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ma France (IRE) 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Secrets Told 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Snark 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Kleen Karma 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Gillian Elizabeth 3.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Liam’s Dove 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Speed Lane 12.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 Woodbine Way 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lady Jae 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tom’s Beauty 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dramatizer 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sixteen Arches (IRE) 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Get On the Bus 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Big Mama Sue 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Almost a Factor 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Barrister’s Ride 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Emerald Lake 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Aas de Faust (GB) 30.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Dendera 5.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Belle Cherie 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Claddagh Cure 8.00 6.1 11-1
13 13 Capstone Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lady Clementine (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.