Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 2, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Awesome Strike 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Silent Farewell 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Under Surveillance 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Belentime 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Pink Gelato 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Dominant Destroyer 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Tuff Rags 2.50 4.5 8-1
10 10 Spring Mountain 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Trizmo 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Uh Oh It’s Magic 20.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Silent Creek 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stormy Soul 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Corduroy Road 8.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Bay of Rum 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Honey Won’t 4.50 6 11-1
5 5 Where’s Anthony 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Tricky Magician 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Derzkii 3.50 8.1 15-1
10 10 Hallie’s Hero 15.00 9.8 19-1
9 9 Sea Scout 20.00 10.6 20-1
6 6 Sailor’s Passion 12.00 10.6 20-1
7 7 Ready Hero 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Do the Griddy 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Today 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 It’s a Soupermoon 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Trinity Park 3.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 Passionplate 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Wild Conversation 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Give Me My Money 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Joe Chrome 12.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Puddingontheritz 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Full Extreme 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Prideofdistinction 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Meyer 2.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Lil Bit Gangsta 4.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Canadian Pharoah 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Sir Sahib 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Burning Man 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Jungle Fighter 20.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Lion Kingdom 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Faraway Kitten 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Soup and Sandwich 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 A Thread of Blue 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Scanno 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Day Tripper 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Artie 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Mr. Diffley 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Arturo Toscanini (IRE) 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Henley’s Joy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magic Tomahawk 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Uncaptured Moment 20.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Kaukokaipuu 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Town’s Warrior 20.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Lieutenant Stan 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Glenholme 20.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Wickedblackbullet 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Fajardo 15.00 5 10-1
3 3 Hank Ollie 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Victoria’s Chief 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 King Elvis 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Hal 10.00 7.1 13-1
13 13 Musical Stride 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Niagara Skyline 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Alley Oop Johnny 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 La Belleza Negra 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Breaking Alone 20.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ron’s Gizmo 20.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Timeskip 20.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Palio 6.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 U S Army Corps 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Lapochka 12.00 4 7-1
11 11 Cotton 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Anarchy 12.00 6.3 12-1
14 14 Banff 4.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Small Talk 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ocelot 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Take a Chance 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Diamond City 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Analyzer 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dragon’s Brew 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Decimator 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Dotted Line 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Combative 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Thor’s Rocket 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Maximus Momentus 6.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Carmenootz 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Wentru 3.50 7.5 14-1
3 3 Green Fleet 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Breeders’ S.) – Breeders’ S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Duke of Love 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dancin in Da’nile 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Gaston 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Lac Macaza 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Collaborative 20.00 5 10-1
9 9 Sir for Sure 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Shamateur 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Hall of Dreams 3.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Ice Road 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stronger Together 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jack 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Curlin Candy 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Sovereign Cause 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Killary 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Smiles for David 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Maralinga 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Cure in Reach 4.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Street Max 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ben Lomond 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mambointheforest 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Seguimi 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Am Prepared 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Gorgeous Kitten 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Veloce 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Pound Green 3.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Taos (FR) 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Robusto 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Jegos Fire 10.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Doctor Uptown 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.