Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 3, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Two Color Map 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sir Cupid 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Dubrovnik 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 Sette Stelle 4.00 6 11-1
2 2 Social Joe 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Kane 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Osaba 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Go Skippy Go 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Renee’s Z Va 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Compound It 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Horse Greedy 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 The Right Path 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Bourbon Mission 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 What’s to Blame 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Genghis 5.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Pointer 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Magnetron 3.50 8.4 16-1
1 1 Ahsad 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Empire’s Score 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Relishment 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Daytime Lover 15.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 They Shot Sonny 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Tomater Gator 5.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Kadens Courage 4.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Boat Over the Hill 4.50 6.9 13-1
11 11 Awe Mun 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Moon Pistol 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Out of Line 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Cape May Style 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Slick Start 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 American Forces 8.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Blowing Big Smoke 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Splitzville 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Fearless Fly 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Large 3.50 7 13-1
5 5 Abdaa 10.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Warrant Officer 4.50 8.9 17-1
8 8 Give Me Two Steps 6.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 D Black Mamba 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Peak of Chic 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 This Round’s Mine 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Boca Royalty 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Sizzling Roma 2.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Mrs. Crews 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Terpeye 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Southern Cents 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aztec 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Backatya 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Louie’s Law 4.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Center Mid Maddie 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Smarty John 4.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Deplane 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Hotpot 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Kefi 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strong Light 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Marvelousmoondance 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Victors Valiant 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Soul Provider 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Golden Wildcat 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mistical Curlin 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Supreme Being 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Onlygodcanjudgeme 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Golden Purchase 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bucks County S.) – Bucks County S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tax 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 1.20 1.2 2-1
4 4 Eons 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Shooger Ray Too 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Undercover Kitty 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mt Suribachi 5.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Mr. Einstein 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Glacier Express 50.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Factum Love Style 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Liberty Bell S.) – Liberty Bell S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jalen Journey 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Beren 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Fortheluvofbourbon 1.60 2.3 4-1
6 6 Threes Over Deuces 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Violent Turbulence 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Repo Rocks 4.50 7.1 13-1
3 3 Get the W 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Mach Trial 50.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Five Dreams 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Salvatore M. Debunda Ptha President’s Cup S.) – Salvatore M. Debunda Ptha President’s Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Por Que No 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tasweya 8.00 4.2 8-1
14 14 Lake Lucerne 2.00 6.7 13-1
15 15 Jerusalema 5.00 6.8 13-1
16 16 Sweet Willemina 0.80 7.7 14-1
6 6 Maldives Model 5.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Malibu Curl 8.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Free Data 12.00 10 19-1
11 11 Tightly Twisted 8.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Deciding Vote 4.00 10.1 19-1
5 5 Gravitron 6.00 10.9 21-1
1 1 Peace With Honor 10.00 11.8 22-1
12 12 Tic Tic Tic Boom 8.00 12.5 24-1
8 8 Madame Rouge 20.00 12.6 24-1
10 10 Irie Empress 50.00 12.7 24-1
9 9 Like a Pro 50.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Roamin Rachel S.) – Roamin Rachel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Chub Wagon 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Bourbon Bon Bay 6.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 Fille d’Esprit 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Kalypso 4.00 6 11-1
3 3 Dr B 8.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Sa Foradada 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Oxana 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 The Grass Is Blue 8.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Shero 15.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 My Beautiful Belle 6.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Cartouche 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Angeli Blu 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Ludo 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 He’ssosubtle 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Tempestuous 4.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Prince Champ 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Mischievous Jones 4.00 7 13-1
8 8 Liberty Runner 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 True Dakotan 6.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Porsupuesto 12.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Curlin Lane 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.