Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Acqua Bella 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 All Hail Mo 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Lost Luggage 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Girlfromouterspace 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Smiling Sunshine 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 The Bawse’s Lady 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Stormin’ Elvis 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mizzen Man 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Whata Guy 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Dadashev 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Run White Rabbit 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Ash of My Enemy 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Brotherfromanother 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Tough Workout 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Out of Sorts 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Confirmed Genius 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Grudge 15.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Ifihadachance 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Sense a Million 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Obstinate 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Tiz a Sharpie 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hot Love 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Don’t Blame Freddy 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Run for Karl 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Takemetothemoon 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Long Legged Boy 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 It’s a Pity 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Harley’s Charly 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Coco Shell 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tops the Chart 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 The Judge and Jury 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Bode O 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Hit Me I’m Lucky 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 A Dangerous Guy 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Natavalli’s Knight 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Mr Sandman 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Freccia d’Argento 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Date Night Kisses 1.80 1.3 3-1
1 1 Distorted View 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Jackie the Joker 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Et’s Moon Maiden 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Mining Chrome 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Cajun Cousin 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pliantlea 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Moonchild 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Pegasus in Flight 1.60 4.6 9-1
1 1 A Bit Bad N Boujee 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Purrfect Mistress 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Muzzle Tough 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Solid Gold Dancer 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tizita 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flat Lucky 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Mr Thrifty 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Jump Shot 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Jamminwithbrandon 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 My Train 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Private Network 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Jacohare 5.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Brett’s World 4.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Spartak 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Chronology 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Carroll Girl 2.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Our Uptown Girl 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Collin’s Grey Lady 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Argentina Girl 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Out Dancing 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Brooklyn Heights 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Olivia Darling 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lassie’s Notion 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Annika Gold 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ambitiously Placed 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mani Pedi 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tribord 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Relentless Ruby 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 B B’s Rocket 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Lula’s Roadrunner 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Marianna Queen 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Baby Gundin 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.