Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Valiant Gabe 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gregoria’s Bay 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Diamante de Oro 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Pressing Concern 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Alignment 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 I’m So Extra 4.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Epic Starter 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Beauty N Brains 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jalebi Baby 4.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Bayou Melody 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Nobody’s Secret 10.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Twin Bridges 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Suzy Q the Queen 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Willow Drive 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Beargrease 3.50 6.5 12-1
12 12 Call the Po Po 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Sunday Swagger 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Great Baroness 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Blushing Keylen 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 New York Rock Star 8.00 1 2-1
2 1 Muzzle Tough 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 8 Bellswillberinging 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Chalk Hill 15.00 6.1 12-1
11 12 Brightsideoflife 12.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Dixie Cannon 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Irazu 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Up Her Sleeve 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 White Lilacs 10.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Miss Beth’el 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Radiant Gem 4.00 SCRATCH
1A 10 Bon Fire Diva 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Itsy Bitsy Izzie 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rebel Consort 5.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Golden Heart 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Quantico Creek 4.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Sister Spirit 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Jimmydabook 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Willful Desire 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Linahaspecshoes 12.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Jessica’s Race 8.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 I Gotta Bolt 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pardsy 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Cajun Lover 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Satchel de Ritches 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Cajun Mandate 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Great Go Go 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Nick the Cardshark 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Top Boss 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Devious Mo 15.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 My Beau 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Liam’s Light 1.80 1 2-1
5 6 Red Hot Mess 2.50 5.6 10-1
6 7 Thief of Hearts 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Lanfrankophile 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Bourbon Rebellion 8.00 6.4 12-1
1A 5 Oddsondustymiller 3.50 6.8 13-1
1 1 D’ tiger Lily 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Visual Artist 0 0-1
10 10 Crafty Daddy 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tough Tickets 10.00 1.1 2-1
1A 15 Visual Artist 5.00 1.2 2-1
5 4 Joe Phillips 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 C My Meister 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Artistic Reason 10.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Trululu 8.00 6.9 13-1
14 14 Morning March 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Tappin for Glory 10.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Souper Energizer 15.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Irish Riviera 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 In Effect 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Basso 4.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Azure Sky 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rock the Stars 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Triple Titos 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Im Your Papi 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Always Drinking 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Pellegrini 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Wizard Serrat 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Onehandsomedude 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 The Wild Flyer 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 English Lad 12.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Runner 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Loved Again 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.