Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Screwball 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nugget of Grace 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Fiftyfive Strong 15.00 4 8-1
10 10 My Boy Sam 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Marvins Gold 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ambassador House 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Hard Twist 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Valiant Defender 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Heavenly Trump 15.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Unbridled Pulpit 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Math Man 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Country Cut 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tapizars Secret 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Shifty Henry 10.00 2 4-1
4 4 Let It B 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Colonel Klink 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Farewell Time 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Jake the Band Man 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Mucho Marvin 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Baseball Lover 5.00 6 11-1
10 10 Old Indian Trick 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 No Pedigree 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 R T’s d’Oro 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Soulology 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Wheels Turning 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Shankinstine 4.50 3.7 7-1
11 11 Attitudofgratitude 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Priority Points 12.00 5 10-1
2 2 K V Target 15.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Dignified N Krafty 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Cottonclub Soldier 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Angola Vacation 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Nvrforget Urdreams 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Boston Repo 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 I’ll Raise You 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 War Song 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lion Heart Legend 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Cajun Berti 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Mr. Priority 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 G Don’t Know 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Foolish Boy 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lagoon 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Lucas Zip It 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Louisiana Flash 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Rammer Jammer 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Captain Cool 3.50 4 7-1
7 7 Production Time 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Malibu Money 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Brinee 1.80 1 2-1
2 1 Mschitchattour 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Us Second Cute Pie 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Storm Breach 3.50 4.8 9-1
1A 9 High Value Target 1.80 5.7 11-1
6 5 Crider Chase 5.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Royal Bonus 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Elizabeth Renee 12.00 8.8 17-1
3 2 Kaitlyn’s Court 15.00 9.9 19-1
9 10 Stop Shop N Drop 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mo Classy 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 A Wish for Madelyn 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Custom for Tina 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Our Little Girl 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Emmas Ruler 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Meet Me 5.00 7 13-1
6 6 Iron Banner 3.50 7.5 14-1
8 8 Mo Bling 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Icy Charlie 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Strong Beauty 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Ima Discreet Lady 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Drop Dead Sexy 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Spirited Beauty 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Splenda Gail 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Platinum Queen 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Darren’s Fortune 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Temprano 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 I’m d’Cat 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Binding 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Whiskey’s Gone 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Applewood 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Liam Skye 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 King Ford 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fast Verdict 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.