Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Excetera | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patsy R | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sigicricket | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ekati’s Hit | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokey Reflection | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sexy Socks | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Manor Born | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mundacious | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blurt | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brotherly Love | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Allie Grace | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mad Adam | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Skipper | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Western Star | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mountain Breeze | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamer’s Delight | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Foggy River | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hunter’s Legacy | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Real Diamond | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steppin Shep | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steels All In | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tag Me | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ultra Special | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bear Den | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Juliard Honor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justaboutright | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polly Tiz | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Okie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gp’s Amazing Grace | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wirewirewire | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Cape | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Carlotta | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pomeroy Haze | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tommyhawk | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avenging Warrior | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Okie Strong | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fly to the Bank | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D C Hero | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Euromantic | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Sexy Boy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | High Noon Typhoon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Swimmer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Octagon | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wilbert | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Devil | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sword of Gold | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Truth | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prairie Dollar | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Darn Liquor | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | After Burn | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Howdy Pilgrim | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Helluva Life | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Passthecat | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nomoremrniceguy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loving Lucky | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Kat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Best Time | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tango Kilo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mister K | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Im the Machine | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brick Town | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heroic Song | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raymond | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eldon’s Samurai | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Who’s Big Daddy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizhotndusty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gracie’s Kitten | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jordan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riobella | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Memories | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winehouse | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gotothewindow | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Westland | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Gail | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Liz | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marebell | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.