Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 6, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 North Pole 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Lucky Mucho Man 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Lefty’s War 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 River of No Return 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Reunion Tour 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Vinny Two Cents 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Showemyourheels 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Kara Para 6.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Luna’s Song 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Bode’s Girl 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Irish Empress 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Spinning Colors 20.00 6 11-1
15 15 Sweet Liberty 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Lady Quinn 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Three Girls 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Maddie’s Grace 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Highway Harmony 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bustin Wide Open 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bussia 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Split Star 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dream On Cara 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mommasgottarun 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Sister Supream 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Dame Cinco 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Cupids Girl 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 I’m Nervous Now 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Spooky Road 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Holiday Jazz 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Masabeeh 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Our Jessica 5.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 One Track Mine 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 In My Wake 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Elegant Laoban 50.00 9 17-1
14 14 Infringement 50.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Ice Kreem Sundae 30.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Freedom Machine 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Command Point 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Control Function 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sals Dream Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hope for the Best 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 I’m Buzzy 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Princess Blakely 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Rosemary Potatoes 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jade’s Dream 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Majestic Tiger 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Forestwood Lane 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Scotty 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Forever Wicked 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Mr. Briggs 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Grecian Pharoah 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Digital Future 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fast N Fearious 8.00 2.6 5-1
11 10 Sugar Gray Leonard 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 After Five 12.00 6.3 12-1
13 12 King Moonracer 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Spettro 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Blinding Light 8.00 8.6 16-1
12 11 Montatham 10.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Hudson Overpass 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Uncle George 10.00 SCRATCH
9 98 Sheriff Bianco 0.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Mister Chairman 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sandrone 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Napa Spirit (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Curlin’s Wisdom 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Agent Creed 10.00 3 6-1
10 10 Can’t Beat Me 30.00 4 8-1
1 1 Street Tsar 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Kingdom On Paws 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Giramonte 30.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Citizen K 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Breadman 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Noble Conquest 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Battle Scars 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Top Envoy 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sell Something 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Marinara Sauced 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mosienko 0 0-1
3 3 Bank On Anna 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Movie Moxy 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Secret Love 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Patty H 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Mosienko 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Customerexperience 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Honey Money 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ableton 0 0-1
3 3 The Sleepychipmunk 5.00 1 2-1
12 12 Addicted to You 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Toga Dancer 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Sense a Giant 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Kimbo Dancer 30.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Ableton 8.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Impazible Prince 15.00 10.8 20-1
14 14 Bert Bert Bert 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lookin Grand 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Druid 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 On Palm Sunday 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Central Pride 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Southern Civility 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Magic Truck 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Uncle Bruce 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mr. Connecticut 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.