Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 6, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mercury Ten 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 So There 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Rayo Negro 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Are You Happy 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ellarouge 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Heleonortiz 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shield of Faith 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Violent Pass 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Stalking 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Code Name Brody 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Niangua 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Beatthatflew 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Guaponess 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Half Brother 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Secret Addiction 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Picture This 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sergeant Wild Bill 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Renewing Vows 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Whiskey Mischief 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 See Out 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kisses for Hannah 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Queen’s Warrant 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Circle of Courage 15.00 4.3 8-1
14 14 Don Ciccio 15.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Maybe It’s Time 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Boffo Kid 4.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Uptownjacob Brown 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Perfect Peace 12.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Natty Bird 20.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Magic Wizard 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fire d’Rocket 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Quidditch 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Arlo Bello 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Exaggerateddefence 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Liltonytwophones 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Drama’s Prayer 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Mr. Cash 5.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Joe Brains 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Yardman 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Jake’s a Winner 10.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Imperial Jet 12.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Guthrie Hall 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Quick Tempo 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Defend 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Gran Runner 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Golden Juan 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Chief Ron 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Caerus 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Bodeflex 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classy Nancy 3.50 1 2-1
13 13 Shaymyname 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Exclusive Champion 4.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 X Y Lady 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Pharibe 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Ellie Deli 5.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Louise Brooks 8.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Tough Game 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 One Clear Moment 15.00 10.3 19-1
8 8 Arrogante 20.00 10.8 20-1
11 11 Wyeth’s Way 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hopeful Cure 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Saenger Star 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Biz as Usual 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Joe Mike Jim 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Awesome Birdie 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Murumbi 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Akemi 10.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Rosy Apple 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Gorman 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Style 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Illusion of Hope 12.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Practically There 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.