Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mercury Ten | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So There | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rayo Negro | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Are You Happy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ellarouge | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heleonortiz | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shield of Faith | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Pass | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stalking | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Code Name Brody | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Niangua | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beatthatflew | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Guaponess | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Half Brother | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Addiction | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Picture This | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sergeant Wild Bill | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Renewing Vows | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Mischief | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | See Out | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kisses for Hannah | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen’s Warrant | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Circle of Courage | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Don Ciccio | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maybe It’s Time | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boffo Kid | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uptownjacob Brown | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Peace | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Natty Bird | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Magic Wizard | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fire d’Rocket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Quidditch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Arlo Bello | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Exaggerateddefence | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liltonytwophones | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drama’s Prayer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Cash | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joe Brains | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yardman | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jake’s a Winner | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imperial Jet | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guthrie Hall | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quick Tempo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Defend | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gran Runner | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Juan | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Ron | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caerus | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodeflex | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Classy Nancy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shaymyname | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exclusive Champion | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | X Y Lady | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pharibe | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ellie Deli | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Louise Brooks | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Game | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Clear Moment | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arrogante | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wyeth’s Way | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hopeful Cure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Saenger Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Biz as Usual | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joe Mike Jim | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Birdie | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Murumbi | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Akemi | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rosy Apple | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gorman | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Style | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Illusion of Hope | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Practically There | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.