Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Four O Six Creed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Mor Victory | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Buck’s Glory | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Step On It | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Nerky Rose | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Quiet as Midnight | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Brite Outlook | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
8 | 8 | Awesome Cajun | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Wild Mallory | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
4 | 4 | Champagne Affair | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Itsnotmyjob | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Gee Gee | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Summertime Bandit | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Knights Sword | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Roaring Quinn | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Mylies Star | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Come What Mae | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Ashley’s Girl | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Queen of the Moon | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | She’s Takin Over | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Yes I’m a Lady | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
6 | 6 | Allen’s Judy | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
8 | 8 | Jivin Astro | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
3 | 3 | Shooting Stick | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Cyclone Sorority | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
2 | 2 | Suffragette | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Silver Siren | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Moment to Dream | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Gilded Apple | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | For Real Alice | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Bourn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Truly a Rocket | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Typo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Quotabelle | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Kancancutie | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Shesabeautydancer | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Expect a Dancer | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | California Cali | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Psalm Prayer | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Cinco de Mayo | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 11 | Grand Priority | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
10 | 10 | Dealmeinbud | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
7 | 7 | Paynt Battle | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Smoky Topaz | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Wedington | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Bode’s Light | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
8 | 8 | Speedy G | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | My Book | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cleric | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Thirtyeightcaliber | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Mists of Time | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Falcon Heavy | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Building Home | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | See Sassy Run | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Lil Allie Dancer | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Foursweetnieces | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Be a Bandit | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | I’m All Mixed Up | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
3 | 3 | Enduring Peace | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
9 | 9 | Envoys Legacy | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
4 | 4 | Prayers Saved | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Wise Anchor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
1 | 1 | Your Time’s Coming | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
8 | 8 | And Fifty | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
7 | 7 | Commander Scott | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Too Much Bourbon | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | Grief | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Monarch’s Mischief | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Autumns Strong Man | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
10 | 10 | Sournois | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Lower Cretaceous | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Good Old Charlie | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Awesome Arch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
4 | 4 | Seemyvalentine | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
9 | 9 | Chickietown Star | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Don’t Look Ethel | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
10 | 10 | Mo Dixie Diva | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Hot Patootie | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Maywon | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Secret Moment | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | With Grace | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
12 | 12 | Flying I | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Poseidon’s Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Roadside Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.