Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 6, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Pharoahs Baby Gyal 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Wise and Elegant 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Reveille Song 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Mo Martha 10.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Warwick River 20.00 8.3 16-1
15 15 Cynergy’s Electra 15.00 9 17-1
14 14 Every Time 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gold Star 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Souper Tropical 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Breton Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sweet Track 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Chalice 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Carolina Hideaway 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Never Free 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Circuitt 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Positive Message (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 All About Kathern 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Appalachianheights 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Lightfoot Miss 1.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 Postino’s Champion 10.00 4 7-1
8 8 Ravenel 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sheknowsthedrill 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Life in Flash 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Letmeslidebyyou 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nibbles 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sullivan Street 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Lunar Ice 5.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Holy Berries 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Pensively 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Fashionista 30.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Fire At Midnight 20.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Eau Claire 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Amaretto Sour 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Emerald Lace 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 The Sweaty Fox 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kazachan 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rustys Gfivefifty 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Goldenize 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Crush It 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 1 Dream Big Dreams 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Seven On the Rocks 5.00 5 10-1
1 2 One Ten 6.00 5.4 10-1
1A 9 Trash Talkin Larry 6.00 7 13-1
8 8 Ace Nine Nine 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Badger Tooth 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Icy Reply 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Mejoramiga 20.00 12.5 24-1
8 8 Chicago River 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sidney Sue 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mamba Queen 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Investment Income 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Shoyyookh 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Looks Don’t Lie 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Walks Like a Lady 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Americas Woman 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Music Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fanfare Well 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Masked Heroine 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Awesome Lawson 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bali Baby 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Raise a Speights 7.00 1 2-1
2 2 Scintillio 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Brown Delivers 3.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 Bet On Bitz 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Uncommon Valor 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 I’m Not Slow 10.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Give It a Go 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Disputed Notion 20.00 7.4 14-1
12 13 Sweet Asta 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Similar Taste 30.00 7.7 14-1
1A 12 Manklin Creek 12.00 8 15-1
10 10 Panna Mine 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Eleazar 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Acadian Girl 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Witty Banter 10.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Evangeline Allons 30.00 9.8 18-1
9 9 Utterly Courageous 20.00 11.2 21-1
1 1 Eifs 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Beckon 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lenten Rose 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Candy Girl 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Youens 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Batyah 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Believe in Freedom 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Full Count Felicia 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Yarborough 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Chorus Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Amazon Queen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Peachy Weachy 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Glowsity 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Charming Way 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Mavilus 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Purrfect 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Sofia’s Secret 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Tweet Away Robin 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Dotada 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ladro Di Fichi 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tap N Glo 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Thunder Boss 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Misty’s Lass 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Smart Eulee 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 I Can Do It 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Poet in My Heart 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Holy Delite 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Twentyforkaratrose 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 That’s Some Kiss 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.