Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silver Legacy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valentina Lil | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dede’s Trick | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Whisper | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Niki | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zatanna Z | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gospel Charity | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Hourglass Figure | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Charity | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Camden’s Beauty | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Long Legs | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Spear | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | All Aflutter | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Total Insanity | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Certaintini | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lie to Me | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Morena | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Guinessey | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tashkent | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Waverunner | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fredonian | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vangilder | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rift Valley | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin High | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Special Cats | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Shipman’s Song | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fearless Will | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toah | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoodoo Brown | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spectactical | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sedaris | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justins Omen | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Willy Special Cats | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lastcallforalcohol | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Elusive War | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cinco Steve | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Wayside | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yankee Indian | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Expansion | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Euro Suprise | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Drama | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big City Boy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Excaper | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ottothelegend | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brock On By | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freedom Factor | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colosi | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Royale | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kokokomo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buddy Reaux | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doc Irwin | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truly Danzig | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rosie’s Outlaw | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Withherbootson | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Gem | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Squillions | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indy Lover | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eli’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lilly’s Bidness | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What a Babe | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Krinkles | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twentytwentyredo | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Constitution Lady | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany Twist | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Bay | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | American Coalminer | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Massard | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dorita’s Heart | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Da Prairie Girl | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Peek Factor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pearly | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princedreamcess | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jj’s American Diva | 4.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smiles Galore | 5.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cupid’s Music | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clay’s Opal Indy | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wings of Gold | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Deputy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Sky | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ronville | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pandemic Cat | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brother Garry | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Calante | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’mnotforeveryone | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Favorite Song | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Alex | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.